Thunder vs. Celtics Predictions, Picks & Odds: NBA on ESPN, Wednesday 3/12

Following back-to-back games against the Denver Nuggets on two straight nights, the gauntlet doesn’t slow down for the Oklahoma City Thunder, as they’re now in TD Garden taking on the Boston Celtics. For this potential, if not likely, NBA Finals preview, we’ve got our Thunder vs. Celtics predictions for you.
We’ve even got a best bet from our Thunder vs. Celtics picks to break down, and if all that wasn’t enough - a brand new $200 FanDuel Sportsbook sign up bonus also awaits you below!
Thunder vs. Celtics Predictions for NBA on ESPN, 3/12
With such a high-profile matchup on deck between two teams of such high caliber, locking in Thunder vs. Celtics predictions can certainly feel difficult. So, let’s start with how these teams matched up earlier this season.
Being in different conferences, they only meet twice per season, and this year, it’s going to be the Thunder doing for the season sweep. Shortly after the calendar turned to 2025, Oklahoma City was able to take down the defending champs on their own court. They were slight favorites in that matchup, and now on the road, the Thunder vs. Celtics odds have them as slight underdogs.
Such tight point spreads can be daunting to target, so player props could always be in play for your Thunder vs. Celtics picks, but our best bet is going to stick with the standard markets.
Oklahoma City Thunder: Bouncing Back & Extending The Lead
As noted, the Thunder are entering this matchup after two straight games against the Nuggets, the most recent of which was a loss. However, they won the first meeting on Sunday, and they were able to score 127 points in both games.
Even though they only split against Denver, they still have a commanding 11-game lead over them in the Western Conference standings. That means that there is absolutely no reason to stress and overthink Monday’s loss while also being motivated to bounce back from it. After all, they were 9-1 in the 10 games prior to that loss and on a seven-game winning streak.
Boston Celtics: Continuing To Cruise Behind The Cavs
Speaking of winning streaks, the Celtics were able to extend theirs to five games on Monday night with a home win over the Utah Jazz. Although the score was closer than you may have expected (just a six-point win), both Jayson Tatum and Al Horford were ruled out.
That would almost certainly fall into the category of rest management with the Thunder on deck, especially with the prospect of catching the Cleveland Cavaliers in the Eastern Conference quite unlikely given their dominant streak right now. No problem - the defending champs are almost certainly more than happy just focusing on themselves and dealing with the Cavs later.
Thunder vs. Celtics Odds, Spreads, Total & Betting Lines
Given that this matchup is such a likely NBA Finals clash, it should come as no surprise that the Thunder vs. Celtics odds at FanDuel Sportsbook have it set to be a close one:
- Point Spread: Oklahoma City Thunder +4.5 (-110) vs. Boston Celtics -4.5 (-110)
- Money Line: Oklahoma City Thunder (+160) vs. Boston Celtics (-190)
- Game Total (Over/Under): Over 232.5 (-110) vs. Under 232.5 (-110)
Thunder vs. Celtics Best Bet: Oklahoma City +4.5 Points (-110 at FanDuel Sportsbook)
Sweeping Boston is no small task, but that is exactly the direction we’re heading with our Thunder vs. Celtics predictions. Even if OKC isn’t able to pull off the outright upset, we’re actually glad to have them coming off a loss and the Celtics on a five-game winning streak.
Not only does that mean a hungrier Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and company, but it also means more favorable odds for those looking to back the MVP frontrunner. Playing inside TD Garden is no small task either, but having seen the Thunder already take down the defending champs and have a 24-7 record on the road this season, they’re the team that can do it.
Speaking of records outside the standard win/loss column, the Thunder have also been fantastic for bettors that choose to back them. OKC is an incredible 39-24-2 against the spread this season, which is behind only the Cavs for the best in the NBA. Of course, that also includes their win over the Celtics earlier this year.
Not only did they cover against Boston, but they did so by a whopping 11.5 points! That was also a game in which just 197 total points were scored, so an under could also be a consideration. To keep the trends coming, the Celtics are also inside the bottom 10 in the NBA in terms of ATS record at just 30-35 this season.
Admittedly, that is often thanks to somewhat inflated spreads, especially at home, given they’re the title favorites. Even with that being the case, that is the exact spot they find themselves in tonight. So, considering all of the above, we’re locking in the best bet from our Thunder vs. Celtics predictions on Oklahoma City +4.5 (-110 at BetMGM Sportsbook).
Thunder vs. Celtics Injury Report & Latest News
When it comes to injuries for the Thunder and Celtics, Oklahoma City’s incredible season has been fueled by health. They’ll be at virtually full strength, even with Jalen Williams still listed as day-to-day.
As for Boston, Kristaps Porzingis has been out for quite some time, and although Jayson Tatum and Al Horford were out for Monday’s game against the Jazz, if anything, that was in preparation for this massive showdown.
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