Warriors vs. Timberwolves Picks & Odds: NBA Playoffs Game 1, Today 5/6

Rather than one of the Western Conference semifinals matchups being the #2 vs. #3 seed as many fans would expect, we have the far rarer #6 vs. #7 seeds. The series begins in Minnesota tonight, and that means that we’ve got our best Warriors vs. Timberwolves predictions for an exciting Game 1.
It also means that we have a best bet from our Warriors vs. Timberwolves picks, and it all culminates in a guaranteed PrizePicks Fantasy welcome bonus - perfect for fans of these teams in California and Minnesota, and with today being Tuesday!
Warriors vs. Timberwolves Predictions For Tonight NBA Playoffs Game 1, 5/6
The Timberwolves and Warriors may have similar seed numbers, but their experiences in the first round were anything but similar. Actually, at the same time, they were also nearly identical. Both were the higher seeds with chances to upset their opponent in 4-1 fashion.
However, only Minnesota got the job done. Golden State ended up needing three closeout games to eliminate the Houston Rockets, which they finally did in Game 7 on Sunday night. That now sets us up for what should be a riveting Anthony Edwards vs. Stephen Curry matchup in the second round.
As for these teams in the regular season, the Warriors were 3-1 against the Timberwolves, also going 3-1 against the spread. Surely that means that’s where the best bet from our Warriors vs. Timberwolves predictions is focused, right? Let’s check out more info to find out!
Golden State Warriors: Somehow Still Making History
Despite being the NBA’s most recent dynasty, the Golden State Warriors are somehow still making history. As you’d expect, it revolves around Stephen Curry and head coach Steve Kerr. Although Buddy Hield deserves his flowers for taking over Game 7 on Sunday, Curry still woke up in the second half.
It wasn’t a vintage performance, but it helped him solidify something - the first player in franchise history to lead the team in points, assists AND rebounds (have to include Jimmy Butler’s missed game) in a playoff series. That also helped Steve Kerr become the first head coach in NBA history to win three Game 7’s on the road (he’s 4-1 overall in them).
Minnesota Timberwolves: Jimmy Butler’s Return “Home”
We wanted to highlight how motivated the Timberwolves should be for tonight’s Game 1, but given how that’s a factor in the approach we’re taking for the best bet from our Warriors vs. Timberwolves picks, we’ll save that for just a minute from now. Instead, let’s discuss Jimmy Butler’s return to Minnesota.
Many fans may have forgotten, or not even known, that he was once with the Timberwolves. It was only for a little over a season, so it was for just 69 total games, but in the 2017-18 season, he was an Al-Star. It’s nothing compared to his time in Chicago with the Bulls or more recently in Miami with the Heat, but it’s a return nonetheless/
Warriors vs. Timberwolves Odds, Spreads, Total & Betting Lines
Despite the similar seeding for this second round series, the Warriors vs. Timberwolves odds for Game 1 still have Minnesota as the clear favorite:
- Point Spread: Golden State Warriors +6 (-110) vs. Minnesota Timberwolves -6 (-110)
- Money Line: Golden State Warriors (+190) vs. Minnesota Timberwolves (-230)
- Game Total (Over/Under): Over 207.5 (-110) vs. Under 207.5 (-110)
Warriors vs. Timberwolves Best Bet: Minnesota First Half -3.5 (Add Player Picks At PrizePicks Fantasy)
In a matchup that features superstars like Anthony Edwards and Stephen Curry, player picks are sure to be popular for Game 1 - and that’s where PrizePicks will come in - but our Warriors vs. Timberwolves predictions are focused elsewhere.
While it’s not 100% a standard market, it’s still a point spread to keep things nice and basic. The only specificity here is that we’re isolating the first half. In that regard, we’re going to be backing the home team with a significant rest advantage. Not only is that the case for the Timberwolves, but they should also be coming out on fire.
Let’s think back to how their series ended. They eliminated the great LeBron James and company in just five games, yet were hardly discussed at all in the days following. Will LeBron James return next year? Is JJ Reddick to blame for the Lakers early exit? Those were the questions in the media following the 4-1 series win for Minnesota.
Rather than talking about Anthony Edwards’ greatness and the Timberwolves stifling defense, all the attention was on the bigger LA market. That would have been the case had Golden State lost their Game 7 back on Sunday night, but alas, they’re here. However, that extended series created a short turnaround for the far older team, so it did them no favors.
Sure, the Warriors went 3-1 ATS against the Timberwolves this season, but three of those games came prior to the calendar turning to 2025, and the final one was still in mid-January. Even if they do end up covering the +6 given to use in the Warriors vs. Timberwolves odds for Game 1, we expect a hot start from Minnesota.
Therefore, the best bet from our Warriors vs. Timberwolves predictions is Minnesota first half -3.5 points (create player pick ‘em lineups at PrizePicks as well).
Warriors vs. Timberwolves Injury Report & Starting Lineups
When it comes to Warriors vs. Timberwolves injury news, they are almost entirely on the Golden State side with Jimmy Butler’s back/pelvis and Stephen Curry’s right thumb (Gary Payton missed Game 7). While those should be monitored, they have still been taking the court, which means here are the expected Warriors vs. Timberwolves lineups for Game 1:
GS Warriors:
MIN Timberwolves:
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