The NBA picks and player props for Saturday, February 21st are here to help you crush the sportsbooks. Today’s slate is packed with value as the playoff race heats up, offering elite NBA best bets and high-upside opportunities driven by the latest injury news and rotation changes. Beat the fast-paced basketball market using our Data Edge Picks and verified Expert Picks to navigate daily rotation changes. Find soft lines on player stats instantly with the Prop Finder and Odds Finder. Stay ahead of the books by tracking situational spots and streaks with our comprehensive Betting Trends.

 

Philadelphia 76ers vs. New Orleans Pelicans: VJ Edgecombe Over 16.5 Points

With the Philadelphia 76ers missing both Joel Embiid and Paul George, a massive scoring vacuum has opened up in the rotation. Enter VJ Edgecombe. This season, Edgecombe has seen a significant jump to a 23% usage rate when both superstars are off the floor.

The data supports a breakout tonight: Edgecombe has cleared the 16.5-point mark in seven of his last ten games played without Embiid and George. While New Orleans has defensive tools, their primary stopper, Herbert Jones, will likely be tasked with shadowing Tyrese Maxey. This leaves Edgecombe with a favorable matchup against a Pelicans defense that has struggled to contain secondary scoring options. Expect him to be aggressive from the jump.

Sacramento Kings vs. San Antonio Spurs: Keegan Murray Over 5.5 Rebounds

Keegan Murray is proving to be a "sneaky good" rebounder, and his floor raises significantly when the Kings' frontcourt is depleted. Sacramento enters tonight without Domantas Sabonis and Dylan Cardwell, leaving a massive rebounding void to fill.

In his return game the other night, Murray looked highly active, hauling in 8 boards on 13 rebound chances in just 32 minutes. Historically, he has gone over this 5.5 line in 7 of his last 10 games without Sabonis and Cardwell on the floor. While San Antonio’s Victor Wembanyama provide size, Raynaud will be occupied with the Wemby-containment plan, allowing Murray to swoop in and clean up the glass.

Houston Rockets vs. New York Knicks: Jabari Smith Over 6.5 Rebounds

Jabari Smith. is in the middle of a dominant rebounding stretch, having cleared this 6.5 line in 8 of his last 10 games, including five straight. The key to his production is pure opportunity as Smith is a fixture in the lineup, consistently logging 35+ minutes a night.

Over his last 10 games, Smith is averaging nearly 11 rebound chances per contest. He is an incredibly efficient rebounder who rarely misses out on a "gettable" board. Against a physical Knicks frontcourt at MSG, the Rockets will need every bit of Smith's activity on the glass to maintain their status as one of the league's top rebounding units.

New Orleans Pelicans vs. Philadelphia 76ers: Adem Bona Over 5.5 Rebounds

While Adem Bona is coming off the bench, his path to productivity is clear with Joel Embiid out of the lineup. Bona is projected to see close to 20 minutes tonight, and he has made the most of his recent opportunities.

In his last two games without Embiid, Bona totaled 18 and 14 rebound chances while playing only 22 and 20 minutes, respectively. The Pelicans are not a strong rebounding unit, and Bona’s high-motor style should allow him to capitalize on second-chance opportunities and defensive boards. If he sees his expected rotation, 6 rebounds is a very reachable threshold.

 

NBA Picks Against the Spread

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