Zack Wheeler Underdog MLB Picks Today, 7/7: Baseball Projections + More

What is up, Fantasy Alarm family? We are hunting pitcher K picks and strikeout prop betting value again for Underdog Fantasy, built around season stats, current form, and matchup splits against lefties and righties for Tuesday's MLB slate. Two arms stand out above the rest of today's strikeout prop board. Before you lock in your Higher or Lower calls, cross-check the numbers with our MLB Player Prop Tool and track how our staff is doing on the board with the MLB Expert Picks Tracker. Let us break down today's top plays.

Zack Wheeler MLB Underdog Fantasy Pick: Higher than 7.5 Strikeouts

Wheeler is 8-1 with a 2.36 ERA and 84 strikeouts in 80 innings, a 9.4 K/9 from one of the most reliable arms in baseball. His last start against Pittsburgh was a strange one on the surface, four runs allowed over just 4.2 innings, but he still racked up a season-high 10 strikeouts in that outing. The swing-and-miss ability is not going anywhere.

Tonight, he heads to Cincinnati, and the Reds chase strikeouts against right-handed pitching at a 24.8 percent clip. Wheeler has posted eight or more strikeouts in each of his last three starts against this exact opponent. That kind of track record against a specific team does not happen by accident.

Jacob deGrom MLB Underdog Fantasy Pick: Higher than 7.5 Strikeouts

DeGrom is 7-5 with a 3.48 ERA and 115 strikeouts across 95.2 innings, a 10.8 K/9 that stacks up with anyone in the league. He was dominant in his last outing, seven innings and only two earned runs against Cleveland.

He stays home against the Angels today, and Los Angeles swings and misses against right-handed pitching at a 24.9 percent rate, the highest mark on the board. A favorable home matchup against an aggressive Angels lineup sets deGrom up to clear this number comfortably.
 

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