Troy Melton Underdog MLB Picks Today, 8/15: Baseball Projections + More

Quick Summary of Today’s Top Underdog MLB Picks: 

• Troy Melton (DET): Lower Than 4.5 Hits Allowed
• Yandy Diaz (TB): Higher Than 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI

The 2026 MLB season rolls on with the All-Star break in the rearview. It’s been an entertaining first half of baseball with plenty of highlights, storylines, and breakout players to watch. Let’s now focus on the Saturday, August 15th slate of games with our top Underdog MLB Picks. We’ll break down a pair of MLB DFS projections to lock in as you enjoy today’s action. 

Underdog Fantasy MLB Picks: Saturday, 8/15

Troy Melton MLB Underdog Fantasy Pick: Lower Than 4.5 Hits Allowed 

Troy Melton continues to have a dominant season for the Detroit Tigers. The right-hander owns a 1.46 ERA and 0.90 WHIP across 13 starts so far. Let’s back him to keep it going at home today against the Chicago White Sox. 

Melton is getting it done by limiting hard contact, with a 5.2% barrel rate (84th-percentile) and 34.0% hard-hit rate (81st-percentile) allowed. That can play well against the White Sox, who are hitting just .210 against right-handed pitching in August. The offense also has a league-worst 30.4% strikeout rate vs. righties this month.

Melton, meanwhile, has allowed four hits or fewer in 10 of his 13 starts this season. He’s also held opponents to two earned runs or fewer in 12 of his 13 outings. When he last faced Chicago in June, Melton allowed only one hit – a solo homer – across six strong innings. He also tossed seven innings of one-run ball against the White Sox in May. 

• MLB Underdog Fantasy Pick: Troy Melton Lower Than 4.5 Hits Allowed

Yandy Diaz MLB Underdog Fantasy Pick: Higher Than 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI

Yandy Diaz has been anchoring the Tampa Bay Rays’ potent offense all season. He’s in a great spot today to produce yet again. Let’s back him against Baltimore Orioles starter Trevor Rogers. 

Diaz is hitting .348 with a .994 OPS at home this year. He also owns a .300 batting average and .875 OPS against left-handed pitching. Plus, the Rays’ designated hitter is swinging it well lately, with a .315 average over his last 12 games. 

Rogers, meanwhile, brings in a 4.21 ERA into this matchup. The left-hander has been notably worse against right-handed hitters, allowing a .275 batting average and .768 OPS in the split. It also helps that Diaz is 6-for-10 in his career against Rogers, and he’s hitting .471 with a 1.432 OPS against Baltimore pitching this season. 

• MLB Underdog Fantasy Pick: Yandy Diaz Higher Than 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI