Looking for the best Underdog Fantasy MLB picks today? Our Underdog MLB Pick'em predictions for Sunday, July 12th, spotlight two MLB player props worth targeting on today’s action-packed MLB slate. The lines for Otto Lopez’s hits and James Wood’s hits + runs + RBI both come with clear situational edges backed by current form, matchup data, and recent trends. If you are building your Underdog Pick'em entry for today’s MLB slate, here is the full case for where we land on both and why the MLB DFS projections set up the way they do.

 

 

 

What are the Best Underdog MLB Pick'em Picks Today?

Today’s two best Underdog Fantasy MLB Pick'em plays are Otto Lopez over 0.5 hits and James Wood over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI. Both props are supported by matchup data, current streaks, and favorable line construction heading into an action-packed day of baseball. Read below for the complete analysis on each.

Otto Lopez HIGHER THAN 0.5 Hits

No player has a higher batting average against LHP on the year than Lopez at .430. Furthermore, he has a 1.074 OPS, .453 wOBA, and 189 wRC+. Simply put, he’s been elite against left-handed pitching, and despite going hitless through the first two games of this series, I expect the version of Lopez today that had recorded a hit in each of the nine games prior to this 3-game set with Cleveland.

Joey Cantillo is far from an easy matchup, but it is worth noting that righties have a .251 AVG and .331 wOBA against him, and when he’s facing righties on the road, those numbers bump up to .273 and .358 respectively. Cantillo’s top two pitches against RHH are his four-seamer and his changeup, and in 2026, Lopez has a .370 wOBA versus lefty four-seamers, and a .417 batting average versus lefty changeups.

Just one hit from Lopez. That’s all we need.

James Wood HIGHER THAN 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI

What if I could tell you that you’re getting a red-hot James Wood against a righty whose issues with left-handed hitters are prevalent? How fast would you sign up for that? Not only does Wood have back-to-back three-hit efforts, but he has six home runs, 15 runs scored, 13 RBI, and a 1.081 SLG over his last 10 games. His OPS is north of 1.000 against righties on the year, and it's the same story for his OPS when playing at home.

New York’s Will Warren has an ERA that has increased every month of the season, and he’s surrendered a .265 batting average and .335 wOBA to left-handed hitters. Over his last five starts, he’s served up a 2.1 HR/9, .315 BAA, and .978 OPS to lefties. Wood very well could exceed this line on his first AB of the game, seeing as it's a good matchup, and he has a .474 wOBA and 1.133 OPS on his at-bats in the first inning.

 

Claim Your Underdog Fantasy Promo Code Bonus

If you have not yet signed up for Underdog Fantasy, there is no better time than tonight. New users who register using promo code ALARM will receive a free pick plus $50 instantly, giving you real money to work with on this slate and every MLB game going forward. Visit fantasyalarm.com/offers to lock in your bonus before the evening games get underway.