Looking for the best Underdog Fantasy MLB picks today? Our Underdog MLB Pick'em predictions for Wednesday, August 26th, spotlight two MLB player props worth targeting on today’s action-packed MLB slate. The hits + runs + RBI line for Miguel Vargas and Bubba Chandler’s walks allowed line both come with clear situational edges backed by current form, matchup data, and recent trends. If you are building your Underdog Pick'em entry for today’s MLB slate, here is the full case for where we land on both and why the MLB DFS projections set up the way they do.

What are the Best Underdog MLB Pick'em Picks Today?

Today’s two best Underdog Fantasy MLB Pick'em plays are Miguel Vargas over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI and Bubba Chandler over 1.5 walks allowed. Both props are supported by matchup data, current streaks, and favorable line construction heading into an action-packed day of baseball. Read below for the complete analysis on each.

 

 

 

Miguel Vargas OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI

Over his last 14 games, Vargas is slashing .360/.500/.740 with five home runs, 11 runs scored, eight RBI, and a massive 21.9% walk rate! He’s been excellent against southpaws all season long, posting a .971 OPS and .313 ISO, and with some noticeable winds likely blowing out tonight, it’s hard not to like Vargas in this spot. Texas’ Mackenzie Gore has a 5.42 ERA on the road, compared to a sub-3 ERA at home, and he’s served up a 1.30 HR/9 to RHH.

The Texas southpaw has been solid out of the All-Star break, posting a 3.32 ERA and 3.92 FIP across 40.2 IP, but when you look at his pitch mix against righties, it’s primarily four-seamer, curveball, and changeup. Well, this year, Vargas has a .581 SLG against lefty four-seamers,  a .281 AVG against lefty changeups, and a .420 wOBA against lefty curveballs.

Bubba Chandler OVER 1.5 Walks Allowed

Chandler’s walk rate has improved since the beginning of the year, and in fact, his walk rate is down nearly five percentage points in the second half (8.7%) compared to the first half (13.1%). However, he’s walked multiple batters in three of his last four outings, as well as nine of his last 11 road starts! For the entire 2026 season, the Padres have the sixth-highest walk rate against RHP (9.7%), and in the second half of the season, only the Brewers and Cubs have a higher walk rate than San Diego against righties. This is a patient San Diego lineup, and with Chandler’s 53.2% first-pitch strike rate in the second half, he could be in trouble if he’s routinely falling behind hitters.

 

 

 

Claim Your Underdog Fantasy Promo Code Bonus

If you have not yet signed up for Underdog Fantasy, there is no better time than tonight. New users who register using promo code ALARM will receive a free pick plus $50 instantly, giving you real money to work with on this slate and every MLB game going forward. Visit fantasyalarm.com/offers to lock in your bonus before the evening games get underway.