Kyle Harrison Underdog MLB Picks Today, 8/18: Baseball Projections + More

Tuesday’s top two Underdog plays go in opposite directions, with an elite left-hander projecting well over his number at home and a walk-prone veteran projecting to stay under his against a Cardinals lineup that has not been chasing much lately, for Underdog Fantasy. Before you lock in your Higher or Lower calls, cross-check the numbers with our MLB Player Prop Tool and track how our staff is doing on the board with the MLB Expert Picks Tracker.

Kyle Harrison MLB Underdog Fantasy Pick: Higher than 5.5 Strikeouts

Harrison has been outstanding in his first season with Milwaukee, backing a 3.47 ERA with 114 strikeouts across 93.1 innings and a strikeout-to-walk ratio that places him among the better arms in the National League. His home numbers stand out even further, with a sharply lower ERA and an elevated strikeout rate across his starts at American Family Field this season. This will be his first career start against Seattle, a lineup that has struggled for most of the past month and enters on an extended losing skid. While Milwaukee has managed his workload a bit more carefully in recent turns, his swing-and-miss stuff has remained sharp even in shorter outings, giving him a real path to clearing this number.

Andrew Abbott MLB Underdog Fantasy Pick: Lower than 4.5 Strikeouts

Abbott has walked 64 batters across 133 innings this season, a rate that regularly puts him behind in counts and forces heavy reliance on a fastball that opposing hitters have handled well. His 17.6 percent strikeout rate and 6.9 K/9 both point to a pitcher who survives through contact management rather than missing bats. St. Louis carries an 18.3 percent strikeout rate against left-handed pitching, one of the lower marks in baseball, offering little added swing-and-miss upside for a pitcher who already struggles to finish hitters off. His track record against the Cardinals shows a consistent pattern of modest strikeout totals even in his stronger starts against this opponent.

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