Looking for the best Underdog Fantasy MLB picks today? Our Underdog MLB Pick'em predictions for Sunday, July 19th, spotlights two MLB player props worth targeting on today’s action-packed MLB slate. The lines for Joey Cantillo’s walks allowed and Curtis Mead’s total bases both come with clear situational edges backed by current form, matchup data, and recent trends. If you are building your Underdog Pick'em entry for today’s MLB slate, here is the full case for where we land on both and why the MLB DFS projections set up the way they do.

 

 

 

What are the Best Underdog MLB Pick'em Picks Today?

Today’s two best Underdog Fantasy MLB Pick'em plays are Joey Cantillo under 2.5 walks allowed and Curtis Mead over 1.5 total bases. Both props are supported by matchup data, current streaks, and favorable line construction heading into an action-packed day of baseball. Read below for the complete analysis on each.

Joey Cantillo LOWER THAN 2.5 Walks Allowed

Cantillo has had some walk issues this year, don’t get me wrong, so I understand why the line is up at 2.5. However, he’s only walked three or more batters in two of his last seven starts, and his first-pitch strike rate during this stretch is up over three percentage points compared to his season average.

What’s enticing today is that this Pittsburgh lineup doesn’t take many walks against southpaws. For the season, they have the eighth-lowest walk rate against lefties at eight percent, and since June 1, they have the third-lowest walk rate at just 6.3% In July alone, it’s down to 5.1%!

I like the Cleveland southpaw to stay under 2.5 walks today.

Curtis Mead HIGHER THAN 1.5 Total Bases

When the Nationals take on a lefty starter, Curtis Mead should be on your radar. For the year, Mead has an .874 OPS, .261 ISO, and .376 wOBA against lefties! Furthermore, since June 1, Mead has a 1.032 OPS, .380 ISO, and .432 wOBA against southpaws! Simply put, he’s seeing a beach ball at the plate when facing a lefty!

Jacob Lopez will toe the rubber for the Athletics today, and as a starter this year, he’s surrendered a 6.94 ERA, .495 SLG, and 2.12 HR/9. Right-handed hitters alone have a 2.13 HR/9, .310 BAA, and Lopez has not enjoyed pitching at home in 2026 (2.08 HR/9, 6.24 FIP).

On a warm day at Sutter Health Park, the ball should be flying, and Lopez has the sixth-lowest ground ball rate of all pitchers with at least 50 IP on the season.

 

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If you have not yet signed up for Underdog Fantasy, there is no better time than tonight. New users who register using promo code ALARM will receive a free pick plus $50 instantly, giving you real money to work with on this slate and every MLB game going forward. Visit fantasyalarm.com/offers to lock in your bonus before the evening games get underway.