Welcome to Fantasy Alarm’s top MLB Underdog Pick'em plays for Tuesday, July 29, 2025! If you’re looking to crush your MLB player props and pick'em contests, we’ve got you covered with two strong selections for today’s action. Before we dive in, if you haven’t signed up at Underdog yet, use the promo code ALARM at signup and you’ll get an instant deposit match up to $1,000 in bonus cash, plus a free pick to parlay with these recommendations. Let’s get into the plays!

 

 

 

MLB Underdog Picks: Tuesday, 7/29 - MLB Projections

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Joe Boyle Underdog MLB Pick - Higher Than 5.5 Strikeouts

We are taking the alt line here with Boyle and going with his 5.5 strikeout projection, which has a 1.35x payout multiplier in today’s matchup against the New York Yankees.

Boyle replaces Taj Gibson in the Rays rotation and has demonstrated some really nice strikeout upside this season, totaling 14 strikeouts over 10 innings in his two spot starts this season. He also had a near 12.0 K/9 at Triple-A this season, just to demonstrate his upside.

Today, he faces a Yankees team that is without Aaron Judge and has some high-strikeout hitters in their lineup, which he should be able to take advantage of.

 

 

 

Lucas Giolito Underdog MLB Pick - Higher Than 5.5 Strikeouts

The last few starts for Giolito have been rough as he faced the iron of the National League with road starts against the Cubs and the Phillies.

Today, he draws a much more favorable matchup against the Minnesota Twins, who have the 9th highest strikeout rate against right-handed pitching over the last month.

Dating back to June 1st, Giolito has a K/9 of 8.3 with a 23% strikeout rate, and he’s eclipsed today’s strikeout mark in four of his last seven starts with a high of 10 strikeouts. He’s also gone over this total in three of his last four outings.

 

 

 

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