Gavin Williams Underdog MLB Picks Today, 8/20: Baseball Projections + More

Thursday's top two Underdog plays feature two arms attacking lineups that have struggled to generate offense lately: one a quietly dominant frontline starter and the other a pitcher rounding into form after a rough stretch, for Underdog Fantasy. Before you lock in your Higher or Lower calls, cross-check the numbers with our MLB Player Prop Tool and track how our staff is doing on the board with the MLB Expert Picks Tracker.

Gavin Williams MLB Underdog Fantasy Pick: Higher than 7.5 Strikeouts

Williams has quietly become one of the American League's better starters, backing 190 strikeouts and a 31.8 percent strikeout rate across 149 innings this season. He is averaging 8.7 strikeouts over his last ten outings, meaning eight tonight would actually sit slightly below his recent form rather than represent a stretch. San Francisco has struggled badly to generate offense lately, batting just .213 with only seven home runs over its past ten games. His deep arsenal and the expectation of a normal workload give him a real path to clearing this number.

Robert Gasser MLB Underdog Fantasy Pick: Higher than 5.5 Strikeouts

Gasser has settled in nicely since a shaky start right after the All-Star break, posting a 3.33 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP across his last five outings. Seattle carries a 23.8 percent strikeout rate against left-handed pitching, a favorable matchup for a pitcher who has been trending upward lately. Milwaukee has been one of the hottest teams in baseball as a club, giving Gasser plenty of support and a longer leash to work with on the mound. That combination of improving individual form and a strong team situation gives him a legitimate path to clearing this modest number.

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