Looking for the best Underdog Fantasy MLB picks today? Our Underdog MLB Pick'em predictions for Wednesday, August 12th, spotlight two MLB player props worth targeting on today’s action-packed MLB slate. The lines for Drew Rasmussen’s walks allowed and Ryan Feltner’s earned runs allowed both come with clear situational edges backed by current form, matchup data, and recent trends. If you are building your Underdog Pick'em entry for today’s MLB slate, here is the full case for where we land on both and why the MLB DFS projections are set up the way they are.

What are the Best Underdog MLB Pick'em Picks Today?

Today’s two best Underdog Fantasy MLB Pick'em plays are Drew Rasmussen under 1.5 walks allowed and Ryan Feltner over 2.5 earned runs allowed. Both props are supported by matchup data, current streaks, and favorable line construction heading into an action-packed day of baseball. Read below for the complete analysis on each.

 

 

 

Drew Rasmussen UNDER 1.5 Walks Allowed

Of qualified starters, Rasmussen’s 4.5% walk rate is the second-lowest in baseball, and his 66.4% first-pitch strike rate comes in at sixth-best. He’s walked fewer than two batters in six of his last seven starts, and his walk rate on the road (4.1%) is better than his mark at home (5.0%). In the second half of this season, the Athletics have the league’s lowest walk rate at 6.2%, and in the second half against righties, they have the fourth-lowest walk rate (6.9%). For what it’s worth, over the last two weeks, the Athletics have an even worse 5.5% walk rate!

Rasmussen pounds the strike zone and limits free passes, and I’d expect him to do that yet again this afternoon.

Ryan Feltner OVER 2.5 Earned Runs Allowed

Feltner has struggled of late for the Rockies, posting a 9.64 ERA and 1.98 WHIP across 18.2 IP. He’s served up seven long balls during that stretch, and even away from Coors Field this year, he’s been a disaster. On the road this season, he’s allowed a 5.85 ERA, .295 BAA, .384 wOBA, 1.64 WHIP, and 6.21 FIP. Oh, let me tell you this as well: All of those numbers are WORSE than his numbers at Coors Field!

Since the All-Star break, the Diamondbacks have been a top-10 offense against RHP, posting a .253 AVG, .759 OPS, and .331 wOBA. Furthermore, dating back to July 1, when playing at home, Arizona has a .330 wOBA, .176 ISO, and sub-20% strikeout rate.

Feltner’s struggles should continue, so look to those Arizona bats to have success today.

 

 

 

Claim Your Underdog Fantasy Promo Code Bonus

If you have not yet signed up for Underdog Fantasy, there is no better time than tonight. New users who register using promo code ALARM will receive a free pick plus $50 instantly, giving you real money to work with on this slate and every MLB game going forward. Visit fantasyalarm.com/offers to lock in your bonus before the evening games get underway.