Chase Burns Underdog MLB Picks Today, 7/11: Baseball Projections + More
On Friday, July 11th, we have a massive opportunity to secure a nice winning day with our Underdog Fantasy MLB Picks and MLB DFS projections as the MLB regular season continues with 30 teams in action, as games kick off at 3:10 pm ET, as we actually have 16 games today.
Looking for an edge today, we look at the MLB DFS projections for Chase Burns of the Cincinnati Reds and Vladimir Guerrero of the Toronto Blue Jays.
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Best Underdog Fantasy MLB Picks, Friday, 7/11: MLB DFS Projections
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Chase Burns MLB Underdog Fantasy Pick: Higher Than 6.5 Strikeouts (1.05x)Â
Happy Chase Burns bump day to all that celebrate! Burns bounced back from a dreadful start in Boston and looked sharp against the Phillies. He misses a ton of bats as he’s had seven-plus strikeouts in two of three professional starts. He has a 30.6% K-rate thus far, and Burns faces a Rockies offense striking out more than any other team in baseball against righties. The Rockies' K-rate sits above 26% against right-handed hurlers. Over the last month, the Colorado K-rate is actually approaching 28%. Burns threw 91 pitches last time out, which is trending in a great direction.
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Vladimir Guerrero MLB Underdog Fantasy Pick:Â Higher Than 1.5 Total Bases
The Toronto Blue Jays head into Sutter Health Park and face Luis Severino in his favorite park to pitch. By favorite, I mean least favorite. He absolutely hates it, and he’s been vocal about it. He’s also pitched horribly and has struggled mightily against right-handed hitters. Severino has a baseline ERA of 7.04 at home, but a 3.04 ERA on the road. Against righties at home, he’s allowed a .328/.371/.515 and now has to face a righty-heavy lineup that includes Vladimir Guerrero Guerrero Jr. has a .153 ISO but a .184 xISO and .343 wOBA but a .387 xwOBA against right-handed pitchers. Now he gets to hit in Sutter Health Park. Good luck, Mr. Severino.
- Pick:Â Higher Than 1.5 Total Bases
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