Braxton Ashcraft Underdog MLB Picks Today, 6/29: Baseball Projections + More

What is going on, everyone? Monday's Underdog board has two strong angles working in opposite directions, and we are fully behind both of them. We are protecting the rest of our premium plays, but these two free breakdowns are as sharp as anything we have on the board. Check all model movements at the Fantasy Alarm Bet Tracker and lock in the full expert picks page before you submit your cards.

Braxton Ashcraft MLB Underdog Fantasy Pick: Lower than 6.5 Strikeouts

Braxton Ashcraft on the Lower is the anchor of your Underdog card today, and the logic is matchup-driven. Ashcraft just struck out 10 against the Mariners in his last start, which has pushed his number up to 6.5 and will draw plenty of money to the Higher. We are going the other way. Ashcraft carries a 2.89 ERA and a 90:19 K:BB on the season, but a 10-strikeout game is the top of his range, not his norm. Tonight, he draws a Philadelphia lineup that has struck out at just a 20.9% clip against right-handed pitching over the last two weeks, one of the more contact-oriented marks in the sport over that span. A disciplined lineup that does not chase makes a repeat double-digit strikeout total very unlikely. Lock in the Lower.

Parker Messick MLB Underdog Fantasy Pick: Higher than 6.5 Strikeouts

Parker Messick is the second leg of your Underdog card, and he is the best rookie in the American League right now. Messick is 7-3 with a 2.70 ERA and 91 strikeouts, and he just set a career high with 10 strikeouts over 7.2 innings against the White Sox in his last outing. His six-pitch mix and pinpoint command give him genuine put-away ability against any lineup. Tonight, he draws Texas, a lineup that has struck out at a 26.8% clip against left-handed pitching over the last two weeks, one of the highest marks on the board. Getting the Higher on a pitcher this polished against a lineup whiffing at nearly 27% against lefties is an easy call. Our MLB DFS Projections favor the Higher. Get it in.

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