MLB DFS Picks, Projections, Lineups & Stacks Today: Sunday Playbook

Looking for the best MLB DFS picks and lineup strategy for today’s DraftKings and FanDuel slate? The Fantasy Alarm team breaks down every game on the board, identifying the top pitching targets, elite hitter stacks, and high-upside contrarian plays to target in both cash games and GPP tournaments. Check Fantasy Alarm’s MLB DFS pitcher projections and hitter projections for the data-driven edge to build winning lineups across DraftKings and FanDuel. Before locking your roster, verify the MLB weather tool for any late-breaking environmental changes, run your builds through the Fantasy Alarm MLB lineup optimizer, and check MLB DFS ownership percentages before finalizing any GPP entry to find the contrarian stacks where the leverage lives.

Slate Weather Alert

Two games carry significant delay or postponement risk and should be avoided. Several others sit in outstanding hitting environments worth noting at lineup lock.

CLE (vs. DET): High PPD / Delay Risk. 79% rain, terrible timing. Avoid all stacks. Gavin Williams is highly risky.

CIN (vs. ARI): Mid-Game Delay Risk. Starts dry, but 72% rain arrives late. Stacks carry risk.

CWS (vs. LAD): Elite Hitting. 0% rain, 17 mph winds blowing out. Huge boost to Dodgers stack.

BAL (vs. SD): Great Hitting. 93°, 10% rain, 14 mph winds blowing out. Great for both lineups.

WSH (vs. SEA): Great Hitting. 91°, 7% rain, 13 mph winds blowing out. Boosts Mariners stack.

NYM (vs. ATL): Strong Hitting. 87°, 3% rain, 15 mph winds blowing out.

MIN (vs. STL): Clean & Safe. 0% rain, 14 mph winds blowing out giving an offensive boost.

TOR (vs. NYY): 100% Safe (Roof). Zero weather concerns. Yankees stack is fully protected.

MLB DFS Pitching Picks

Cristopher Sanchez (L, PHI @ MIL)

Sanchez is the best pitcher in baseball right now. It’s not a debate. His 8-2 record, 1.54 ERA, and 113:17 K:BB over 93.1 innings across 14 starts tell the story, and the underlying profile is every bit as dominant: a FIP of 1.85, an xFIP of 2.29, a WHIP of 1.06. He threw 50.2 consecutive scoreless innings earlier this season, the third-longest streak in baseball since 1920 and a new franchise record by a Phillies pitcher. The streak eventually ended but the process has not changed. Since May 5, he has thrown at least seven innings in seven consecutive starts. Milwaukee carries a 93.2 wRC+ against left-handed pitching, one of the lower marks on this slate, which lines up directly with the best left-handed starter in the game. American Family Field’s roof eliminates all weather variance. At $11,600 DK and $11,600 FD, he is the SP1 on this slate.

Kyle Harrison (L, MIL vs PHI)

Harrison’s most recent start needs to be addressed up front: on June 8 at Las Vegas, he allowed eight runs on eight hits and three home runs in just 2.1 innings before being lifted. His ERA rose from 1.57 to 2.72 on the night. That said, context matters significantly here. Las Vegas Ballpark is the most homer-friendly environment in professional baseball, and those results came in a 15-14 ten-inning game where eleven total home runs were hit. His underlying profile, a FIP of 3.11 and an xFIP of 3.01 in 59.2 innings this season, reflects a pitcher who generates consistent weak contact and swing-and-miss. His K/9 sits at 11.62 with a 31.3% K rate. He enters today’s start 7-1 on the year, and today’s environment at American Family Field under a roof is about as different from Las Vegas Ballpark as a pitcher could ask for. Philadelphia carries a 92.5 wRC+ against left-handed pitching, below the league average, which gives Harrison a lineup environment that plays directly to his strengths. American Family Field’s roof removes all weather concern. At $10,700 DK and $10,300 FD, Harrison is the most compelling SP2 on this slate and the highest-upside pivot off Sanchez.

Gavin Williams (R, CLE vs DET)

Williams’ case is strong enough that he deserves full analysis, with the obvious caveat that this game at Progressive Field has a realistic postponement scenario. The full picture: a FIP of 3.81 and an xFIP of 3.16, a 10.28 K/9 and a 28.7% K rate overall, and Detroit carries a 97.4 wRC+ against right-handed pitching, a below-average offensive mark in that split that fits well against a pitcher of Williams’ strikeout caliber. He’s genuinely one of the better strikeout arms on this slate, and DET’s lineup has the strikeout profile to back it up. If this game gets the green light or confirmation that conditions have cleared, Williams at $9,300 DK and $10,500 FD becomes a major play. Do not lock him in without a weather check at lineup lock.

MLB DFS Value Pitchers

Emmet Sheehan (R, LAD @ CWS)

Sheehan is the salary-relief arm tonight for builds that want to maximize budget on the Dodgers offense. His overall FIP of 4.32 and xFIP of 3.67 reflect a pitcher who generates real contact suppression despite a surface profile that looks worse than it is. Chicago carries a 102.2 wRC+ against right-handed pitching, and Sheehan’s xFIP of 3.67 gives him real process support even against a lineup that can produce at the plate. The Dodgers are -191 at Rate Field with 17 mph winds blowing out, and at $7,900 DK, Sheehan paired with the full LAD offensive stack gives you the most efficient salary allocation of any pitcher-stack combination on the board tonight.

Bryce Elder (R, ATL @ NYM)

Elder checks in with a 3.46 FIP and 3.93 xFIP as a starter this year. The Mets carry an 87.9 wRC+ against right-handed pitching, the second-weakest offensive split against RHP of any team on this slate. Citi Field carries 15 mph winds out and 87-degree heat, which typically amplifies bats rather than pitching, but Elder’s ground ball profile keeps him from being the one conceding those damage plays. Atlanta is effectively a pick-em at -101. At $7,700 DK and $9,700 FD, Elder is the quality value arm in a contained matchup.

Trevor Rogers (L, BAL vs SD)

Rogers is a value play built entirely around the Camden Yards environment today at $6,000 DK. His overall FIP of 4.64 and xFIP of 4.91 are not numbers that headline a pitch write-up on their own. San Diego carries an 81.2 wRC+ against left-handed pitching, the lowest mark of any team on this slate in that split, and Rogers is the left-handed arm they’re facing today. The matchup is more favorable than the surface stats suggest, and the salary relief he provides allows builds to stack Alonso, Henderson, and Rutschman without straining the budget.

Top Options for Strikeouts

• Cristopher Sanchez: 10.90 K/9, 30.1% K%, 11.81 K/9 vs left-handed batters (37.6% K rate)
• Kyle Harrison: 11.62 K/9 overall, 12.16 K/9 vs right-handed batters (33.1% K rate)
• Gavin Williams: 10.28 K/9, 28.7% K% (weather permitting)
• Emmet Sheehan: 9.71 K/9, 25.8% K%, 10.04 K/9 vs right-handed batters
• Freddy Peralta: 9.12 K/9 if building the NYM pitching side of ATL @ NYM

Best Odds for a Win

• Kyle Harrison / Brewers (PHI @ MIL): MIL -100 home, essentially pick-em with a staff ace pitching
• Cristopher Sanchez / Phillies (PHI @ MIL): PHI -120 road favorite, back-to-back NL East titles and the best pitcher in baseball
• Emmet Sheehan / Dodgers (LAD @ CWS): LAD -191, the heaviest favorite on the slate
• Bryce Elder / Braves (ATL @ NYM): ATL -101, essentially even money
• Gavin Williams / Guardians (DET @ CLE): CLE -115 home favorite, weather permitting

MLB DFS Lineup Picks: Top Hitters

Shohei Ohtani (1B/OF, LAD)

Ohtani left the Dodgers’ Thursday win at Pittsburgh with left knee inflammation and sat out Friday’s series opener here at Chicago, a game Los Angeles lost 8-2. He was back in the starting lineup Saturday and led off with a home run on the second pitch he saw, a 94.2 mph fastball from Sean Burke, launching it 409 feet at 109.6 mph exit velocity. It was his 14th home run of the season. His June has been the offensive reawakening the Dodgers expected all along: batting .436 in June with four home runs and 10 RBI coming into today. The full-season profile is equally impressive, a .305 batting average with 14 home runs, 40 RBI, and 50 runs. No NL qualifier has a higher wRC+ in 2026. His Statcast profile reads like someone operating at his peak: 93.5 average exit velocity, 53.1% hard hit rate, .412 wOBA, .418 xwOBA. He faces Erick Fedde today at Rate Field, where 17 mph winds are blowing out. The matchup, the park, the recent form, and the confirmed health clearance all point the same direction. At $6,500 DK and $4,300 FD, Ohtani is the centerpiece of the Dodgers build.

Juan Soto (OF, NYM)

Soto has turned the best month of his career into one of the most dominant offensive stretches in Mets history. Through the first 23 games of June he was hitting .325 with 10 home runs, 18 RBI, and a 1.238 OPS, and he is in the middle of an 11-game on-base streak. His wRC+ against right-handed pitching sits at 172.3 with a .298/.405/.597 slash and an ISO of .298, numbers that confirm the June tear is backed by real process rather than variance. He faces Bryce Elder today at Citi Field, where 87 degrees and 15 mph winds blowing out create the ideal offensive environment. His ISO of .298 in this split combined with that park condition is the cleaner power setup on the slate. At $5,800 DK and $3,800 FD, Soto is the highest-ceiling bat at his price point.

Gunnar Henderson (SS, BAL)

Camden Yards today is 93 degrees with 14 mph winds blowing out, and Gunnar Henderson is batting second in that environment against Walker Buehler. His wRC+ against right-handed pitching sits at 95.1 this season, which is below average on the number alone, but his power profile against right-handers carries a .167 ISO and his Statcast profile remains elite in terms of average exit velocity and hard-hit rate. The case here is more environmental than split-driven: Camden Yards amplifies even average production, and Henderson at $5,400 DK gives you a bat in the top of an Orioles order that will see a ton of favorable run-scoring opportunities with 93-degree heat and wind blowing out all afternoon. Pete Alonso at $5,200 DK is the more analytically compelling individual play in this lineup, and both should be considered as BAL stack anchors.

MLB DFS Value Hitters

Jac Caglianone (OF, KC)

At $3,400 DK and $2,900 FD, Caglianone is the value play in the KC vs Arrighetti stack. His wRC+ against right-handed pitching is 118.5 with a .263/.356/.428 slash and an ISO of .164. He’s been one of the more productive bats in the KC order against right-handed pitching, which is the relevant split facing Arrighetti today. Kansas City’s Kauffman Stadium is clear with no weather concerns.

Jesus Sanchez (OF, TOR)

Sanchez has been one of the quieter productive bats in the American League this season, slashing .308/.342/.503 against right-handed pitching with a 130.8 wRC+ and an ISO of .195. He’s batting fourth in the Toronto order today at Rogers Centre, a roof-protected environment immune to today’s storm systems, against Will Warren. At $2,900 DK and $2,700 FD he is clean value in one of the safer weather environments on the slate.

Royce Lewis (1B/3B, MIN)

Lewis at $2,700 DK and $2,700 FD is the salary anchor in the STL vs MIN game at Target Field, where 14 mph winds are blowing out and the weather is 0% precip. His wRC+ against right-handed pitching is 79.2, which is below average, but Michael McGreevy’s FIP of 4.25 overall and his general profile as a hittable contact pitcher in a wind-aided environment make Lewis a legitimate filler piece when the salary needs to compress to fit premium arms and bats elsewhere.

MLB DFS Top Stacks

Primary Stack: Seattle Mariners vs. Miles Mikolas

Why: Seattle carries a 116.7 wRC+ against right-handed pitching, the second-best team mark on this slate. Mikolas’ overall FIP of 4.83 and his limited strikeout profile create a stacking opportunity that is straightforward to build around. Nationals Park today is 91 degrees with 13 mph winds blowing out, a favorable environment that amplifies the upside of a matchup this good. Julio Rodriguez leads the lineup with a wRC+ of 140.2 against right-handed pitching. Josh Naylor adds a 126.4 wRC+. The Mariners are -144 road favorites, which gives this stack real winning lineup projection. At the price points available across the Seattle order, this is one of the most efficient total-dollar stacks on the board.

Players to Stack: Julio Rodriguez, Josh Naylor, Randy Arozarena, Colt Emerson.

Primary Stack: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Erick Fedde

Why: The Dodgers carry a 125.1 wRC+ against right-handed pitching, the best team offense split vs RHP on the entire slate. Fedde’s 5.50 FIP and 5.17 xFIP as a starter are numbers that get exposed against a lineup with that kind of offensive ceiling. Rate Field has 17 mph winds blowing out today and clear weather with 0% precip. Los Angeles is a -191 favorite implying a 5.9-run total. Shohei Ohtani returns from his knee rest with three straight homers on his ledger. Freddie Freeman’s wRC+ against right-handed pitching is 151.2. Max Muncy’s is 158.0. Andy Pages brings a 131.8 wRC+. This is the premier environment-plus-matchup combination on today’s 10-game slate.

Players to Stack: Shohei Ohtani, Freddie Freeman, Max Muncy, Andy Pages, Kyle Tucker.

Primary Stack: Baltimore Orioles vs. Walker Buehler

Why: The Camden Yards environment today is one of the most offense-friendly on the slate: 93 degrees and 14 mph winds blowing out. Baltimore carries a 111.7 wRC+ against right-handed pitching, the fourth-best mark on the slate, and Buehler’s 3.44 FIP and 3.86 xFIP become more dangerous inside 93-degree heat with 14 mph winds out at Camden Yards. Pete Alonso leads the Orioles offensive case with a 138.9 wRC+ against right-handed pitching, and Adley Rutschman adds a 114.1 wRC+ from the three spot. The Orioles carry a 111.7 wRC+ against right-handed pitching as a team, the fourth-best mark on this slate. Baltimore is a -135 home favorite.

Players to Stack: Pete Alonso, Gunnar Henderson, Adley Rutschman, Jackson Holliday.

Contrarian Stack: Cincinnati Reds vs. Zac Gallen (Weather-Dependent)

Why: The CIN vs Gallen stack would be one of the stronger plays on the board if not for the 72% precip forecast at Great American Ball Park. Cincinnati carries a 102.5 wRC+ against right-handed pitching. Gallen’s 4.83 FIP and 4.59 xFIP as a starter confirm the exposure, and JJ Bleday’s 175.0 wRC+ along with Nathaniel Lowe’s 150.8 wRC+ give this stack genuine individual upside. This is a weather monitor-only build until the game gets the all-clear.

Players to Stack: JJ Bleday, Nathaniel Lowe, Sal Stewart, Spencer Steer.

Contrarian Stack: Houston Astros vs. Stephen Kolek

Why: Houston carries a 102.7 wRC+ against right-handed pitching, and Kolek’s 3.92 FIP and 3.81 xFIP overall reflect a pitcher who can be exploited by a lineup this capable. The case starts and ends with Yordan Alvarez at a 199.0 wRC+ vs RHP, the highest individual mark on this slate. Kauffman Stadium has 0% precip and clear weather today. Houston is essentially even money at +100, meaning the Astros carry the significantly stronger offensive argument.

Players to Stack: Yordan Alvarez, Jeremy Pena, Christian Walker, Isaac Paredes.

Contrarian Stack: New York Yankees vs. Patrick Corbin

Why: New York carries a 118.7 wRC+ against left-handed pitching, the second-best team mark in that split on this slate. Corbin’s 4.61 FIP and 4.63 xFIP as a starter reflect the exposure the Yankees’ lineup is built to exploit. The individual pieces reinforce the case: Paul Goldschmidt carries a 249.1 wRC+ against left-handed pitching in a limited but meaningful sample, Ben Rice adds a 150.0 wRC+, and Cody Bellinger contributes a 126.1 wRC+. Rogers Centre’s roof eliminates any weather risk. New York is a -125 road favorite. In a field where most DFS players will gravitate toward the LAD or SEA stacks, the NYY vs Corbin build gives you real upside and far lower ownership.

Players to Stack: Paul Goldschmidt, Ben Rice, Cody Bellinger, Jazz Chisholm.

MLB DFS Lineups: Core Hitters & Pitchers

The core DFS lineup foundation for DraftKings and FanDuel across today’s 10-game slate.

Player Pool

$ Tier	{{pos.alias}}

Stacks

{{stack.team.name}}	{{player.name}}
DraftKings	{{player.fantasy.price.value[8]}}-
Fanduel	{{player.fantasy.price.value[6]}}-