Hunter Dobbins ParlayPlay MLB Picks Today, 7/22: Baseball Projections + More

What is up, Fantasy Alarm family? Our MLB DFS Projections point to two standout strikeout prop plays tonight on ParlayPlay, built off season stats, current form, and matchup splits against lefties and righties for the Wednesday, July 22 slate. For a deeper look at how tonight's arms project pitch by pitch, check out our MLB DFS Pitcher Projections, and line-shop today's strikeout numbers with our MLB Odds Finder before you build your board. Let us get into the picks.

Hunter Dobbins MLB ParlayPlay Pick: Higher than 4.5 Strikeouts

The matchup for Dobbins today is a fresh spot-start opportunity with real swing-and-miss upside. Just recalled from Triple-A Memphis for a rotation-shuffle start rather than a desperation bullpen game, he's punched out 23 batters in 22.1 innings this year, a 9.3 K/9 and 24.2% strikeout rate that both point to more swing-and-miss stuff than his 4.03 ERA lets on. A fresh arm making a planned spot start typically gets a fuller pitch count than an emergency call-up, which matters here.

Today he gets the Angels, and Los Angeles chases strikeouts against right-handers at a 24.9% clip, one of the best matchup numbers on the entire slate. That combination of underrated stuff and an elite matchup is exactly the kind of value ParlayPlay bettors should be hunting for. That is the number. That is the play.

Logan Henderson MLB ParlayPlay Pick: Higher than 5.5 Strikeouts

The matchup for Henderson today comes with real confidence behind it. He's 3-1 with a 2.97 ERA and 2.71 FIP this season, and a 2.45 ERA across 12 career starts, a 10.3 K/9 and 29.7% strikeout rate that rank among the best on the board. His last outing was clean: five innings, four strikeouts, zero walks against the Marlins, needing just 73 pitches, a sign he's fully rounded back into form after his back injury.

Today he makes his first career start against the Mets, and New York strikes out against right-handers at a 21.8% clip while riding an 11-game losing streak into this series. A pitcher trending upward against a struggling, punchout-prone lineup is as clean a spot as this board offers. Do not overthink it.

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