Noah Schultz ParlayPlay MLB Picks Today, 7/21: Baseball Projections + More

What is up, Fantasy Alarm family? Our MLB DFS Projections point to two standout strikeout prop plays tonight on ParlayPlay, built off season stats, current form, and matchup splits against lefties and righties for the Tuesday, July 21 slate. For a deeper look at how tonight's arms project pitch by pitch, check out our MLB DFS Pitcher Projections, and line-shop today's strikeout numbers with our MLB Odds Finder before you build your board. Let us get into the picks.

Noah Schultz MLB ParlayPlay Pick: Higher than 4.5 Strikeouts

The matchup for Schultz today is a good one for a rookie finding his groove. He carries a 5.60 ERA and a 5.27 FIP into tonight, with 47 strikeouts across 53.2 innings and an 8.0 K/9, and his last time out was clean, five innings and just one earned run allowed on four hits against Oakland.

Tonight he draws a Texas lineup that has seen its strikeout rate against lefties spike to 31.5% over the last two weeks, well above its already-strong 25.3% season mark. Schultz has cleared this total in six of his last ten starts, and a rookie showing real swing-and-miss flashes against a Rangers lineup chasing strikeouts at an elevated clip right now is the number to target. That is the number. That is the play.

Parker Messick MLB ParlayPlay Pick: Higher than 5.5 Strikeouts

The matchup for Messick today lines up well in a special rookie season. He carries a 2.73 ERA and a 3.29 FIP into tonight, an 8.8 K/9 and a 24.7% strikeout rate with 110 strikeouts already this year, and he's coming off a standout showing at last week's All-Star Game, working around traffic to post a scoreless inning on the national stage.

Minnesota strikes out at a 21.8% clip against lefties this season, right around league average, nothing that changes the calculus here. Messick has cleared this number in six of his last ten starts, and his emerging stuff makes this an easy total to clear. Do not overthink it.

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