Matthew Boyd ParlayPlay MLB Picks Today, 8/3: Baseball Projections + More
What is up, Fantasy Alarm family? Our MLB DFS Projections have flagged two standout strikeout plays tonight on ParlayPlay. Built off season stats, current form, and matchup splits against lefties and righties, let's get into the picks. For a deeper look at how tonight's arms project pitch by pitch, check out our MLB DFS Pitcher Projections, and line-shop today's strikeout numbers with our MLB Odds Finder before you build your board.
Matthew Boyd MLB ParlayPlay Pick: Higher than 4.5 Strikeouts
Boyd's last start was five strikeouts over seven shutout innings against the Cardinals, continuing a strong run of length since his June 24 activation, at least six innings in every outing since he came back. The Dodgers strike out against lefties at just 20.0% tonight against baseball's second-highest scoring offense, but his innings give him plenty of chances to clear this total regardless. He isn't a swing-and-miss arm by trade; an 8.2 K/9 and 21.9% strikeout rate confirm that, but the sheer volume of hitters he faces most nights is enough on its own. That is the number. That is the play.
Aaron Nola MLB ParlayPlay Pick: Higher than 5.5 Strikeouts
A 27.5% whiff rate and 32.3% chase rate say Nola's stuff is well ahead of his 5.61 ERA this season. His last start produced four strikeouts over 5.2 innings against Miami, a hard-luck 1-0 loss despite the quality effort. Citizens Bank Park grades as the eighth-best strikeout park in the sport, and Washington sends out three hitters projected for elevated strikeout rates tonight. His 9.2 K/9 has held steady all year regardless of the results around it. Do not overthink it.
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