Paul Skenes ParlayPlay MLB Picks Today, 8/25: Baseball Projections + More

Tuesday’s top two ParlayPlay plays split the board, with a struggling Pirates ace projecting for the lower and a Guardians workhorse fresh off crossing 200 strikeouts projecting for the higher. Our MLB DFS Projections have both arms flagged as strong plays tonight. For a deeper look at how tonight’s arms project pitch by pitch, check out our MLB DFS Pitcher Projections, and line-shop today’s strikeout numbers with our MLB Odds Finder before you build your board.

Paul Skenes MLB ParlayPlay Pick: Lower than 6.5 Strikeouts

Skenes has posted a 5.28 ERA over his last six starts, a real step back from the elite level he set in his first two seasons, with diminished fastball velocity accompanying the decline. His last two outings were both capped under 85 pitches as Pittsburgh manages his workload carefully down the stretch. San Diego has been one of the hottest lineups in the sport since late July, posting an MLB-best 125 wRC+ with a disciplined, contact-first approach. That combination of a limited pitch count and a red-hot opponent makes the under the smarter side of this number. That is the number. That is the play.

Gavin Williams MLB ParlayPlay Pick: Higher than 7.5 Strikeouts

Williams just crossed the 200-strikeout mark for the first time in his career, striking out 11 over 5.2 innings in his last start against San Francisco. He has reached double digits in six of his past eight outings, a dominant stretch backed by a career-best walk rate this season. Los Angeles carries a 25.1 percent strikeout rate against right-handed pitching, a favorable matchup for a pitcher already missing bats at an elite level. His career numbers against the Angels are similarly strong, with a sub-2.00 ERA in his previous starts against this opponent. Do not overthink it.

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