Andrew Abbott ParlayPlay MLB Picks Today, 8/18: Baseball Projections + More

Tuesday’s top two ParlayPlay plays span both directions of the board, with a contact-management veteran projecting for the lower and an elite home favorite projecting for the higher. Our MLB DFS Projections have both arms flagged as strong plays tonight. For a deeper look at how tonight’s arms project pitch by pitch, check out our MLB DFS Pitcher Projections, and line-shop today’s strikeout numbers with our MLB Odds Finder before you build your board.

Andrew Abbott MLB ParlayPlay Pick: Lower than 4.5 Strikeouts

Abbott’s 64 walks across 133 innings this season reflect a pitcher who regularly falls behind in counts and leans on a fastball that has not fooled many hitters. His 17.6 percent strikeout rate and 6.9 K/9 both point toward a contact-management profile rather than a swing-and-miss one. St. Louis carries an 18.3 percent strikeout rate against left-handed pitching, one of the lower marks in baseball, leaving little extra strikeout upside on the table tonight. His history against the Cardinals reinforces the same modest strikeout pattern even during his better outings against this exact opponent. That is the number. That is the play.

Kyle Harrison MLB ParlayPlay Pick: Higher than 5.5 Strikeouts

Harrison has been one of the better stories in baseball this season, backing a 3.47 ERA with 114 strikeouts across 93.1 innings for Milwaukee. His home numbers are even sharper, with a much lower ERA and elevated strikeout production across his starts at American Family Field. Facing Seattle for the first time in his career, he draws a lineup that has lost eight of its last nine games and has struggled to generate consistent offense. Even with a somewhat shorter recent leash on his workload, his swing-and-miss stuff has remained intact, giving him a real chance to clear this number. Do not overthink it.

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