Eury Perez ParlayPlay MLB Picks Today, 8/11: Baseball Projections + More
Two of the more reliable swing-and-miss arms on tonight's slate line up against lineups that play right into their strengths. Our MLB DFS Projections have both of these starters projected for a strong workload, and ParlayPlay bettors have two clean Higher calls to build around. For a deeper look at how tonight's arms project pitch by pitch, check out our MLB DFS Pitcher Projections, and line-shop today's strikeout numbers with our MLB Odds Finder before you build your board.
Eury Perez MLB ParlayPlay Pick: Higher than 6.5 Strikeouts
Perez struck out nine batters over five innings in his last outing against Atlanta, part of a season that has him running 9.63 K/9 and a 27.1 percent strikeout rate over 104.2 innings. His 3.44 ERA reflects one of the more underrated seasons among National League starters this year. Pittsburgh's strikeout rate against right-handed pitching sits at 23.5 percent, above league average and squarely in Perez's wheelhouse given his fastball-splitter combination. That matchup, paired with his recent form, gives him a real path to seven or more punchouts. That is the number. That is the play.
Sean Burke MLB ParlayPlay Pick: Higher than 7.5 Strikeouts
Burke has struck out 144 batters across 128.2 innings this season, a 10.1 K/9 pace backed by a 3.08 ERA. His last start against Boston was cut short at 4 1/3 innings, but he still worked four strikeouts and has otherwise been one of the more consistent swing-and-miss arms in the American League all year. Cincinnati brings the highest strikeout rate against right-handed pitching in all of baseball at 25.5 percent into Tuesday's series opener, and the Reds have never faced Burke before in their careers. That first-look unfamiliarity paired with the league's most strikeout-prone offense vs righties makes this number very reachable. Do not overthink it.
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