The MLB Season and Fantasy Baseball Season are quickly approaching. The WBC is over, but Spring Training continues and both have had an impact on where players are being drafted. This is important to take note of before new drafts start. In today's final edition we will focus on whose ADP has changed this week from the last. All ADP used is from NFBC data. 


Fantasy Baseball ADP Risers

Jurickson Profar, OF, Colorado Rockies

ADP from March 10, 2023-March 16, 2023: 537

ADP from March 17, 2023-March 23, 2023: 400

ADP from March 20, 2023-March 23, 2023: 276

I added the shorter timeframe to exclusively show his ADP since the time he signed his contract with the Rockies. Essentially, it’s a near 300 pick rise for Profar. I actually still think he’s being undervalued even at pick 276. You could not have asked for a better landing spot as he will play half his games at Coors Field. On top of that, reports have come out that he is expected to be the everyday left fielder and bat leadoff. What more could you want? He is coming off a year in which he hit .244 with 15 home runs, five steals, and 82 runs scored. I would not be surprised if we see a stat line of about a .257 average with 17 home runs, 8 steals, and 90 runs scored. 

David Robertson, RP, New York Mets

ADP from March 10, 2023-March 16, 2023: 491

ADP from March 17, 2023-March 23, 2023: 198

A near 300 pick jump for Robertson as well. With Diaz going down with injury, I was curious to see where Robertson would land on draft boards and we have our answer. Personally, I would take Robertson over a few of the closers being taken ahead of him (Bard, Sewald/Munoz, and Barlow). The Mets are a team projected to win 100 games and Diaz had the 8th most saves in the league last year for the Mets. Robertson is certainly not Diaz, but he pitched well last season with a 2.37 ERA, 20 saves, and 81 strikeouts across 63.2 innings for the Phillies and Cubs. 

Reid Detmers, SP, Los Angeles Angels

ADP from March 10, 2023-March 16, 2023: 191

ADP from March 17, 2023-March 23, 2023: 169

His ADP was in the low 200’s at the start of the month, so this train hasn’t stopped moving. He put together a solid year last year, pitching to a 3.77 ERA with 122 strikeouts across 129 innings of work. However, he looks poised to take another leap this season as he has been lights-out in Spring Training, pitching to a 2.60 ERA with 23 strikeouts and a 0.87 WHIP across 17.1 innings. Fantasy baseball drafters have certainly taken notice. 

Anthony Volpe, SS, New York Yankees

ADP from March 10, 2023-March 16, 2023: 284

ADP from March 17, 2023-March 23, 2023: 233

His ADP was in the 300’s just a couple of weeks ago, but his incredible Spring Training has turned heads. The 21-year-old is hitting .308 with two dingers and five stolen bases through 39 at-bats and has been seen playing shortstop on a regular basis, including on days where the Yankees run out the rest of their lineup regulars (always a good sign). This is a player who swatted 21 home runs and swiped 50 bags across 132 games at the minor league level last year, making him very interesting for fantasy. 

Updates to past players of this article

Jarred Kelenic, OF, Seattle Mariners

I wrote about him in the first edition, but his ADP continues to rise. Current ADP: 207

Chris Sale, SP, Boston Red Sox

I also wrote about Sale in the first edition. Current ADP: 120

David Peterson, SP, New York Mets

I wrote about him in the second edition. Current ADP: 318


Fantasy Baseball ADP Fallers

Logan O’Hoppe, C, Los Angeles Angels

ADP from March 10, 2023-March 16, 2023: 247

ADP from March 17, 2023-March 23, 2023: 254

His ADP was around 230 less than a month ago, so you see the trend here. Fantasy baseball players expected O’Hoppe to be the Angels starting catcher (and he should be), but that doesn’t appear to be the case as it now appears more likely that O’Hoppe will actually not even begin the season in the big leagues. That information has him crumbling down draft boards and rightfully so. The talent is there to be a useful fantasy catcher, but with no timetable on when he will be the Angels starting catcher, it’s hard to want to roster him. 

Oswald Peraza, SS, New York Yankees                          

ADP from March 10, 2023-March 16, 2023: 276

ADP from March 17, 2023-March 23, 2023: 318

With Volpe’s jump has come Peraza’s fall. Many assumed Peraza would open the year as the Yankees starting shortstop, but the trend has officially changed and now Volpe seems primed to be the guy. Peraza hasn’t done himself any favors with Spring Training as he is hitting just .188, which is never good, but especially when you’re in a competition with someone else who is hot at the dish. Peraza will probably see plenty of run with the Yankees this season, but this situation is messy right now. 

Christopher Morel, OF, Chicago Cubs                             

ADP from March 10, 2023-March 16, 2023: 287

ADP from March 17, 2023-March 23, 2023: 299

His ADP was around 250 a month ago, so another player with a consistent downward trend. Morel was pretty exciting as a rookie last season with 16 home runs and 10 stolen bases across 113 games, but there were some issues in his profile. He hit just .235 and struck out 137 times in 379 at-bats. It has looked even worse in Spring Training thus far as he is hitting .244, but has struck out 19 times in 41 at-bats. That is simply not going to get the job done. The hefty strikeout rate has fantasy managers worried about his playing time. 

Vaughn Grissom, 2B, Atlanta Braves                               

ADP from March 10, 2023-March 16, 2023: 157

ADP from March 17, 2023-March 23, 2023: 204

This one is obvious with Grissom being sent down to begin the year at AAA and continue to work on his defense at shortstop. He will probably be up with the big league club before too long, but I wouldn’t want any part of drafting him right now personally. 


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