The MLB Season and Fantasy Baseball Season are quickly approaching. Spring Training and the World Baseball classic are both in full swing and continue to impact where players are being drafted. This is important to take note of before new drafts start. Today’s edition (and future editions) will focus on whose ADP has changed this week from the last. All ADP used is from NFBC data. 


Fantasy Baseball ADP Risers

David Peterson, SP, New York Mets

ADP from March 2, 2023-March 9, 2023: 502

ADP from March 10, 2023-March 16, 2023: 430

Peterson wasn’t originally going to make the Mets rotation and it was hard to get on board with him when that was the case, but it may no longer be. Jose Quintana is out for at least three months and the door is wide open for Peterson to walk through and claim the 5th spot in the Mets rotation. He has been incredible in Spring Training, firing eight shutout innings with nine strikeouts and a 0.50 WHIP thus far. His ADP is going to keep climbing up at this point. 

Jack Flaherty, SP, St. Louis Cardinals

ADP from March 2, 2023-March 9, 2023: 224

ADP from March 10, 2023-March 16, 2023: 215

Flaherty is kind of this week’s version of Chris Sale from last week, just to a lesser extent. Flaherty finished fourth in the NL Cy Young voting in 2019 at 23-years-old, but has been dealing with injuries ever since.  He has looked healthy and strong in Spring Training though with a 3.86 ERA and a strikeout per inning through two games (seven innings). He is worth taking a shot on at this price as he could easily provide top-150 or better value. 

Michael Conforto, OF, San Francisco Giants

ADP from March 2, 2023-March 9, 2023: 237

ADP from March 10, 2023-March 16, 2023: 225

Conforto did not make an MLB appearance last season after going unsigned and eventually having shoulder surgery, which made him an interesting player to keep an eye on during Spring Training with his new team, the San Francisco Giants. Well, thus far, he has looked like the player I remember watching with the Mets as he is hitting .304 with FOUR dingers through 23 at-bats. He has caught fantasy baseball drafters attention and he is well worth this current ADP still. 


Fantasy Baseball ADP Fallers

Carlos Rodon, SP, New York Yankees

ADP from March 2, 2023-March 9, 2023: 41

ADP from March 10, 2023-March 16, 2023: 96

This one was a bit obvious as Rodon suffered a forearm strain and that is never a good sign for a pitcher. It put fantasy baseball drafters in panic mode and it has made Rodon’s ADP spiral down. We did receive good news on it though that he may only miss 2-to-3 starts. If that is the case, this new ADP presents a nice buying opportunity, albeit with some risk baked in. I personally still don’t like the risk, especially on a guy who has a long injury history. 

Dylan Floro, RP, Miami Marlins

ADP from March 2, 2023-March 9, 2023: 363

ADP from March 10, 2023-March 16, 2023: 390

His ADP was inside the top-300 less than a month ago when he was the presumed Miami Marlins closer, but fantasy managers are no longer so sure of that and his ADP continues to crumble downwards. He has a 10.80 ERA and 1.40 WHIP through five appearances in Spring Training. Some of his potential competition, A.J. Puk and Matt Barnes, have both pitched better than Floro thus far. I think Puk is the best bet to take a chance on here. 

Eduardo Escobar, 3B, New York Mets

ADP from March 2, 2023-March 9, 2023: 475

ADP from March 10, 2023-March 16, 2023: 502

Escobar is coming off the second worst season he has had over the last six years as he hit just .240 with 20 home runs across 136 games. He started Spring Training off going 2-16 with no home runs before the World Baseball Classic started. Meanwhile, Brett Baty is having himself a great Spring Training, hitting .400 (12-30) with a home run and a pair of steals while looking like an improved defender (Escobar was very poor on defense last season). Escobar’s ADP was around 350 less than a month ago, just to further show his ADP drop. 


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