Drew Rasmussen Chalkboard MLB Picks Today, 4/29: Baseball Projections + More

Quick Summary of Today's Top Chalkboard Picks:

• Drew Rasmussen (TB): Over 4.5 Strikeouts 
• Yusei Kikuchi (LAA): Over 5.5 Strikeouts

Wednesday night baseball means we have a full board of player props to attack on Chalkboard. We are focusing on two veteran arms with massive statistical edges based on their opponent's inability to make contact. By pairing an efficient righty with a high-upside lefty matchup, we are building a high-probability card for the April 29th slate.

Drew Rasmussen Chalkboard MLB Pick: Over 4.5 Strikeouts

Getting a line of 4.5 for a pitcher of Drew Rasmussen's caliber is a significant value opportunity. Rasmussen carries a 26.5% strikeout rate and a 9.1 K/9 into tonight's matchup against Cleveland. While the Guardians are middle-of-the-pack in strikeout rate against righties (22.4%), Rasmussen’s ability to generate whiffs in the zone gives him a very high floor. We expect him to clear this low mark with ease, as he has consistently shown five-plus strikeout upside throughout the season.

Yusei Kikuchi Chalkboard MLB Pick: Over 5.5 Strikeouts

Yusei Kikuchi is in a "boom or bust" spot tonight against a Chicago White Sox lineup that we love to target. The White Sox currently rank 4th in the majors in strikeout rate against lefties at 26.1%. While they do hit for power (#1 in ISO vs. LHP), their high-whiff profile is exactly what we look for in an "Over" play. Kikuchi’s high-spin heater and 9.9 K/9 should lead to plenty of swings-and-misses against a Chicago order that is prone to chasing out of the zone.

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