Looking for the best Chalkboard MLB picks today? Fantasy Alarm breaks down Saturday's top More/Less selections on the Chalkboard platform, targeting the lines where the matchup, the data, and the player profile all point in the same direction. Check out Fantasy Alarm's MLB picks and predictions page for daily matchup analysis and expert projections all season long.

Here are the top Chalkboard MLB picks for Saturday, April 18, 2026.

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Brayan Bello Chalkboard Pick'em — More 2.5 Earned Runs

Bello is 6.14 ERA through three starts with nine walks and nine strikeouts across 14.2 innings. The command has been consistently poor and the Tigers are sending the exact lineup type that shuts him down further.

He historically posts just a 16.3 percent strikeout rate against left-handed hitters with a 10 percent walk rate. His sinker approach works against right-handed bats, but he has no reliable put-away pitch against lefties, leading to deep counts, walks, and traffic that turns into runs. Detroit's lineup includes Kevin McGonigle, Colt Keith, Riley Greene, Kerry Carpenter, and Zach McKinstry all swinging from the left side. Five left-handed hitters cycling through repeatedly against a pitcher walking as many as he is striking out at a 6.14 ERA is a recipe for this prop to hit early. More than 2.5 Earned Runs is the play.

 

 

 

Ryan Feltner Chalkboard Pick'em — More 3.5 Earned Runs

Two things tell you everything you need to know about this pick. Feltner has a 7.30 ERA through three starts with 10 runs allowed in 12.1 innings, and the over has hit in each of his last two outings. Today, he faces the Dodgers at Coors Field.

His career home ERA is 5.87 at a ballpark that inflates run environments by roughly 40 percent. The Dodgers are one of the deepest offensive lineups in the National League. Feltner does not miss bats and does not suppress walks reliably enough to limit damage against quality competition. The over has cashed consecutively and the matchup and ballpark both push in the same direction. More than 3.5 Earned Runs is the most natural play on Saturday's Chalkboard card.

 

 

 

Lock In Your Chalkboard Entry Today

Bello facing five Tigers lefties he has never been able to retire efficiently, and Feltner running into the Dodgers at Coors Field on a three-start earned run streak, give you two clean plays to build around on Saturday. Sign up with promo code ALARM to claim your 100% deposit match and free player card before first pitch.