Wednesday is here, and the Chalkboard board has two premium strikeout spots that our MLB DFS Projections are fully aligned with. We are running our best free analysis on each matchup below, so get your cards ready. Track the complete model breakdown at the Fantasy Alarm Bet Tracker for everything beyond these two plays.
Shohei Ohtani MLB Chalkboard Fantasy Pick: Higher than 5.5 Strikeouts
Shohei Ohtani is the most locked-in Chalkboard pick on the entire board today. He carries a 1.06 ERA with 73 strikeouts and 21 walks through 11 starts across 67 and two-thirds innings this season, and he is pitching this afternoon in a home matchup against Tampa Bay after being confirmed as fully cleared following last week's knee inflammation scare. The Dodgers are not sending him out there unless he is fully ready, and his game-winning homer the night before tells you exactly how he is feeling physically.
His arsenal features seven pitch types, and his breaking ball inventory has a 96th-percentile pitcher run value this season. That seven-pitch mix means Tampa Bay's lineup cannot sit on anything, cannot time him, and cannot eliminate any one look. The Rays do not run out enough left-handed bats to threaten his splitter command, and their full-season strikeout tendencies against righties leave him with a clear path to the Higher. Our MLB DFS Projections are fully behind this one. Make it the centerpiece of your Chalkboard card.
Braxton Ashcraft MLB Chalkboard Fantasy Pick: Higher than 5.5 Strikeouts
Braxton Ashcraft at plus money on the Higher is a gift on the Chalkboard board tonight. He is 5-3 with a 3.30 ERA and 90 strikeouts in 84.2 innings this season, which is one of the better punchout totals in the National League. His slider-heavy mix with a tight curveball for chasing below the zone gives him legitimate swing-and-miss weapons in any count against Oakland's lineup.
The public is pricing in his recent inning-limit concerns, which creates the plus money opportunity we are targeting. Even if Ashcraft is pulled after five innings due to workload management, his per-inning strikeout rate is strong enough to project six or more punchouts in that window against an Athletics lineup whose right-handed split strikeout tendencies are favorable for a pitcher with his breaking-ball profile. Our MLB DFS Projections favor the Higher comfortably tonight. Lock it in.
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