MLB Best Bets Today, 5/21: Picks, Predictions & Player Props - Thursday
Thursday is the baseball calendar's breather day - a lighter slate that separates the Wednesday grind from the upcoming weekend. But don't let the smaller card fool you, because the pitching matchups more than make up for the reduced volume. Spencer Strider vs. Sandy Alcantara in Miami is as good a pitching duel as you'll find any day of the week, and we've even paired our MLB best bets today with today's GUARANTEED 10x Novig Sportsbook promo code bonus!
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⚾ MLB Picks, Predictions & Best Bets Today, 5/21
Thursday's card kicks off just after noon with Joey Cantillo vs. Casey Mize in Cleveland and Braxton Ashcraft vs. Dustin May on ESPN in St. Louis. The later afternoon features Cade Cavalli getting the ball in Washington and Carlos Rodon taking on Toronto in the evening - two pitchers worth monitoring for MLB picks today. The headliner is Strider vs. Alcantara in Miami, which our MLB expert picks will be all over for game lines and individual props.
Lighter slates like Thursday's actually tend to produce some of the sharpest values of the week. With fewer games to spread the action across, sharp money concentrates on the marquee matchups and the books respond accordingly. Eduardo Rodriguez, closing out the night against Colorado in Arizona, adds one more interesting angle to the board. Let's get into our MLB best bets today.
🔥 Blue Jays vs. Yankees Best Bet: YRFI - Yes Run First Inning (-102 at Novig)
If you were keeping tabs on the aforementioned expert picks, then you saw that we not only doubled down on Cam Schlittler going over his 5.5 K prop, but we also had Trey Yesavage doing the same. Both of those hitting for our MLB predictions led to last night’s low-scoring 2-1 finish after the rain delay.
Well, those two K studs won’t be back on the mound tonight, so you can see that we’re taking a different approach. Speaking of our approach, we also cashed in with the Reds vs. Phillies YRFI yesterday afternoon, so let’s add another early pick to our MLB best bets today. We’ve got better weather for hitting in the Bronx today.
Toronto is also going with an opener in Braydon Fisher against one of the best top-of-lineups, and Aaron Judge is absolutely due for a homer. Carlos Rodon is still finding his midseason form (8 walks across his first 2 starts), so we love starting our MLB best bets today with a Blue Jays vs. Yankees YRFI (-102 at Novig).
🔥 Athletics vs. Angels Best Bet: Mike Trout Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI (-118 at Novig)
We’re now heading to one of the two late games with the one California clash that is still going on. The Dodgers vs. Padres series has wrapped up, but the under-the-radar Athletics vs. Angels series provides some great value. Seeing Mike Trout with a 1.5 HRR line means that we have to add to our MLB best bets today in LA.
Regarding Angel Stadium, it’s hitter-friendly to begin with, and we also have out-blowing winds tonight. Of course, Mike Trout doesn’t need any help to begin with. He’s sitting with 100 HRR on the year, and while that doesn’t lead the league, this has leadoff homer written all over it. A’s starter Luis Severino is more than hittable with how inconsistent he’s been this year.
Even if this doesn’t cash in the 1st inning like our first pick, the A’s bullpen can also be had. Whenever it happens, we’ve got Mike Trout over 1.5 hits+runs+RBI (-118 at Novig) as one of our MLB best bets today.
⚾ Best MLB Prop Bets & Other Picks Today, 5/21
Beyond our featured MLB picks today, Thursday's card has plenty of individual markets worth targeting - particularly in the pitching props given the quality arms on the mound. Here are some of the most popular MLB player props for today at Novig Sportsbook:
Home Runs:
- Juan Soto: +485
- Mike Trout: +361
Strikeouts (Over/Under):
- Spencer Strider: Over 5.5 (-121) vs. Under 5.5 (+116)
- Sandy Alcantara: Over 4.5 (-121) vs. Under 4.5 (+106)
Total Bases (Over/Under):
- Jose Ramirez: Over 1.5 (+130) vs. Under 1.5 (-167)
- Matt Olson: Over 1.5 (+121) vs. Under 1.5 (-158)
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