What's up, FAmily? We are back with another round of MLB strikeout props today, digging into the best pitcher K picks on the board for Sunday, July 19. From betting odds and over/under strikeout lines to season stats, recent form, and matchup splits against lefties and righties, this is your one-stop guide to today's strikeout prop value.

For the full up-to-the-minute board, run these matchups through our Daily Strikeout Prop Finder and shop the market with our MLB Odds Finder before locking anything in. Let us get into today's best MLB strikeout picks.

 

 

 

Best MLB Strikeout Props Today

Paul Skenes Over 7.5 Strikeouts (+120)

Skenes carries a 3.57 ERA and 130 strikeouts into today, and after a rare extended winless stretch earlier this summer, he snapped it in his last outing, seven strikeouts over 5.1 innings in a win over Milwaukee, allowing just two runs. The peripherals never wavered through the rough patch, a 2.88 FIP tells the real story underneath the record.

Today, he gets Cleveland, and the Guardians have struck out at a stiff 26.9 percent clip over their last two weeks against right-handers. The stuff is elite, the momentum just turned, and the matchup is right. Take it.

Hunter Brown Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-150)

Brown has been building back up since returning from a shoulder strain, carrying a 3.57 ERA into today. His last outing in Texas was a mixed bag, three runs allowed over six innings with a career-high five walks, but he settled in after a shaky start and the swing-and-miss stuff was still evident.

Brown gets Baltimore at home today, and the Orioles strike out against right-handers at a confirmed 23.8 percent clip.

Foster Griffin Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+110)

Griffin has been one of the best stories in baseball this year, a 30-year-old rookie back from three seasons in Japan who just made his first All-Star team. He carries a 2.77 ERA into today and hasn't allowed more than one run in a start since May. His last outing was dominant, nine strikeouts over seven innings against Houston, generating 22 swinging strikes on 99 pitches.

This afternoon, he gets Oakland on the road, and the Athletics strike out against lefties at a confirmed 24.6 percent clip.

Casey Mize Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-130)

Mize carries a 2.79 ERA into the second half, though his last outing before the break was a tough one, five strikeouts over 5.2 innings in a loss to the Phillies, still generating 15 whiffs on 97 pitches even in a rough final line.

Today, Mize opens his second half at the Angels, and Los Angeles strikes out against right-handers at a confirmed 25.1 percent clip, the best matchup number on the board. Lock it in.

Pitcher Strikeout Projections vs Betting Lines

Every strikeout prop on the board gets measured against season-long performance, recent form, and opponent tendencies before it ever makes this column. Betting lines move for a reason, and our job is to find where the market has not fully priced in a matchup edge. That is the foundation of every pick you see above.

 

Highest Strikeout Upside Pitchers Today

 

 

 

Best Matchups For Strikeouts Today

RHP Getting Favorable Matchups:

LHP Getting Favorable Matchups:

 

Strikeout Props to Avoid Today

Sean Burke vs Toronto Blue Jays

Burke carries a 3.41 ERA and 115 strikeouts into today, and he has hit the over on this kind of number in nine of his last ten outings. On paper, that trend plus his 26.4 percent strikeout rate makes the over look automatic.

But Toronto is one of the toughest lineups anywhere to strike out against right-handers, sitting at just 19.1 percent on the season, and that number has dropped even further to 16.0 percent over the Blue Jays' last two weeks, among the lowest marks on the entire board. A hot personal trend running into one of the league's most contact-oriented lineups, at a moment when Toronto's bats have gone cold in exactly the way that limits strikeouts, is not a number to chase.

 

Today's Best MLB Strikeout Parlay (+1262)

Stack the four picks above into a same game parlay and you are looking at combined plus money value across a slate full of favorable strikeout matchups.

Pitcher

Team

Opponent

Line

Target Pick

Odds

Season ERA

Season Record

Paul SkenesPITCLE7.5Over+1203.578-8
Hunter BrownHOUBAL6.5Over-1503.571-0
Foster GriffinWSHOAK5.5Over+1102.7710-2
Casey MizeDETLAA5.5Over-1302.794-6

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