MLB Stolen Base Picks Today: Best Stolen Base Predictions For September 1st, 2026
Is everyone ready for the best stolen base picks for today? The week started out for us on the right foot, as we had Chandler Simpson (+281) hit in yesterday’s article, and while our free pick in the newsletter, Ceddanne Rafaela, missed, he was caught stealing, so we knew we were in the right area. We want to keep that momentum rolling, so let’s check out the stolen base prop data and see where we want to invest our money today.
Remember, Fantasy Alarm is your one-stop shop for all sports betting and player props, and we’ve got everything for MLB from the stolen bases to the home runs to strikeouts to all the best bets you need to be a successful sports bettor. Our Bet Tracker is loaded up for the day, and all the articles are available to you. Now, it’s time to dive into the research and deliver the best in MLB stolen base picks today.
Also, don’t forget to check out the latest edition of the new weekly stolen base report, as that series will continue to accrue data, which will help us out on a daily basis. Everything you need for both daily and weekly fantasy baseball help. And speaking of daily help…you’ll also want to check out the best fantasy sports promo codes from the top legal sites in your state. And don’t forget to also crush your MLB DFS contests today with our DFS Playbook, Starting Lineups, Lineup Generator & DFS Tools!
Best MLB Stolen Base Prop Predictions Today
Identifying the best stolen base predictions requires matching elite sprint speeds against defensive liabilities, and today’s board features incredible betting value across several players, from top stars to some bottom-of-the-lineup supporting characters. Take a look below, but let’s be sure to match them up with the pitchers allowing the most steals to date. Be sure to check in with our MLB Odds Finder to find the best values.
- Jose Ramirez, Cleveland Guardians (+162)
- Jorge Mateo, Tampa Bay Rays (+258)
- Chandler Simpson, Tampa Bay Rays (+276)
- Ronald Acuna, Jr., Atlanta Braves (+287)
- Elly De La Cruz, Cincinnati Reds (+291)
- Nasim Nunez, Washington Nationals (+291)
- Bobby Witt, Kansas City Royals (+297)
*Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook
Pitchers Most Vulnerable to Stolen Bases Today
When hunting for successful MLB stolen base picks today, targeting the right pitcher is half the battle. The following list is made up of the day’s starting pitchers who have allowed the most stolen bases this season.
- Spencer Arrighetti, Toronto Blue Jays – 21 SB allowed
- Sean Burke, Chicago White Sox – 18 SB allowed
- Logan Webb, San Francisco Giants – 18 SB allowed
- Tyler Phillips, Miami Marlins – 13 SB allowed
- Nick Lodolo, Cincinnati Reds – 13 SB allowed
- Jesus Luzardo, Philadelphia Phillies – 13 SB allowed
Catchers Allowing the Most Stolen Bases
The final piece of the puzzle for finding the best stolen base predictions involves looking behind the dish at catcher pop times and throwing accuracy. How many times teams attempt to steal a base on a particular catcher is a strong indicator of who we expect to see doing the most running today. The following backstops have the lowest Caught Stealing% with a minimum of 10 SB attempts against them.
- Ivan Herrera, St. Louis Cardinals – 3% CS (33 att)
- Austin Hedges, Cleveland Guardians – 6% CS (34 att)
- Drake Baldwin, Atlanta Braves – 9% CS (34 att)
- Brett Sullivan, Colorado Rockies – 10% CS (39 att)
- James McCann, Arizona Diamondbacks – 11% CS (35 att)
- Harry Ford, Washington Nationals – 12% CS (17 att)
- Victor Caratini, Minnesota Twins – 13% CS (47 att)
- Agustin Ramirez, Miami Marlins – 13% CS (15 att)
- Austin Wynns, Texas Rangers – 13% CS (23 att)
- Endy Rodriguez, Pittsburgh Pirates – 13% CS (23 att)
- Cal Raleigh, Seattle Mariners – 13% CS (46 att)
- Ryan Jeffers, Minnesota Twins – 13% CS (31 att)
Best MLB Stolen Base Picks Today:
Locking in the best stolen base predictions means finding the absolute perfect storm of a high-on-base runner and a weak battery. We’ve got an interesting group of notable base-stealers at shorter odds, so here are our top two MLB stolen base picks today for Tuesday, September 1:
Favorite Bets:
CJ Abrams, Washington Nationals (+332) – Squaring up against AJ Smith-Shawver is a nice place to be today for Abrams, who is posting a .388 wOBA with 22 stolen bases against right-handed pitching. Braves catcher Drake Baldwin has been one of the absolute worst at throwing out baserunners, posting just a nine-percent caught-stealing rate over 34 attempts this season. If the Nats want to win this one, they need to be aggressive, so we’ll bet it.
Longshot:
Carson Benge, New York Mets (+890) – Benge is about to shake off last night’s three-strikeout game to deliver us a prime longshot stolen base pick today. He’s actually hit safely in nine of his last 11 games, and yes, he does have a stolen base in that span as well. Middle of the order doesn’t afford him huge opportunities, but his .337 wOBA and 14 stolen bases against right-handed pitching have me intrigued. It also helps that the Mets have a lefty on the mound, which means we’ll see Nick Fortes and his below-average 20-percent caught-stealing rate over 70 attempts instead of Liam Hicks. We like that!
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