Welcome back to the best stolen base picks for today. We’re in the middle of one of those Dr. John songs again, as we are definitely in the right place, but we’ve got the wrong guy. If you tailed yesterday’s picks, we were in on Mariners and Rays – just not the right guys. It happens. We’ll build up another streak and get that stolen base mojo back. Let’s check in with the stolen base prop finder and start the second half of the 2026 MLB season off on the right foot with some winning stolen base picks today.

Remember, Fantasy Alarm is your one-stop shop for all sports betting and player props, and we’ve got everything for MLB from the stolen bases to the home runs to strikeouts to all the best bets you need to be a successful sports bettor. Our Bet Tracker is loaded up for the day, and all the articles are available to you. Now, it’s time to dive into the research and deliver the best in MLB stolen base picks today.

Also, don’t forget to check out the latest edition of the new weekly stolen base report, as that series will continue to accrue data which will help us out on a daily basis. Everything you need for both daily and weekly fantasy baseball help. And speaking of daily help…you’ll also want to check out the best fantasy sports promo codes from the top legal sites in your state. And don’t forget to also crush your MLB DFS contests today with our DFS Playbook, Starting Lineups, Lineup Generator & DFS Tools!

Best MLB Stolen Base Prop Predictions Today

Identifying the best stolen base predictions requires matching elite sprint speeds against defensive liabilities, and today’s board features incredible betting value across several players, from top stars to some bottom-of-the-lineup supporting characters. Take a look below, but let’s be sure to match them up with the pitchers allowing the most steals to date. Be sure to check in with our MLB Odds Finder to find the best values.  

*Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook

 

 

 

Pitchers Most Vulnerable to Stolen Bases Today

When hunting for successful MLB stolen base picks today, targeting the right pitcher is half the battle. The following list is made up of the day’s starting pitchers who have allowed the most stolen bases this season.

Catchers Allowing the Most Stolen Bases

The final piece of the puzzle for finding the best stolen base predictions involves looking behind the dish at catcher pop times and throwing accuracy. How many times teams attempt to steal a base on a particular catcher is a strong indicator of who we expect to see doing the most running today. The following backstops have the lowest Caught Stealing% with a minimum of 10 SB attempts against them.

 

 

 

Best MLB Stolen Base Picks Today:

Locking in the best stolen base predictions means finding the absolute perfect storm of a high-on-base runner and a weak battery. Here are our top two MLB stolen base picks today for Monday, July 20:

Favorite Bet: 

Julio Rodriguez, Seattle Mariners (+248) – Call me crazy, but we’re going right back to Julio Rodriguez, who posts a .361 wOBA with seven stolen bases against southpaws this season. Reds lefty Andrew Abbott has allowed a slate-high 19 stolen bases on the year while his battery-mate, Tyler Stephenson, has just an 18-percent caught stealing rate on 57 attempts. We almost have to go back to the well again. 

Longshot:

Brayan Rocchio, Cleveland Guardians (+507) – As I’ve mentioned in the weekly Stolen Base Report before, it can be tough to pick stolen bases against some of the top starters despite the fact that they’ve allowed so many before. Twins righty Joe Ryan has allowed 15 steals on the season, but we know by his 2.85 ERA and 1.05 WHIP that getting on base against him is difficult. But we’ll make a longshot pick here as Rocchio owns a .340 wOBA against righties and is 3-for-7 in his career against Ryan. Twins catcher Victor Caratini has been awful throwing out baserunners (10 percent caught stealing), so everything seems to be lining up well for us.

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