If you’re looking for the best in stolen base props and picks today, you’ve come to the right place. While we just missed with yesterday’s article picks, our research continues to point us in the right direction as we continue to learn about the pitchers, the base-runners, and, of course, the catchers. Slowly, but surely, the data increases and so does our advantage. We’ve got some interesting pitchers to attack on the mound today, so let’s dive into the research first and then let’s get to the MLB stolen base picks today.

Also, don’t forget to check out my new weekly stolen base report, as that series will continue to accrue data which will help us out on a daily basis. The new one comes out later today (Saturday). And speaking of daily help…you’ll also want to check out the best fantasy sports promo codes from the top legal sites in your state. And don’t forget to also crush your MLB DFS contests today with our DFS Playbook, Starting Lineups, Lineup Generator & DFS Tools!

 

 

 

Best MLB Stolen Base Prop Predictions Today

Identifying the best stolen base predictions requires matching elite sprint speeds against defensive liabilities and today’s board features incredible betting value across several players, from top stars to some bottom-of-the-lineup supporting characters. Take a look below but let’s be sure to match them up with the pitchers allowing the most steals to date. Be sure to check in with our MLB Odds Finder to find the best values. 

*Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook

 

 

 

Pitchers Most Vulnerable to Stolen Bases Today

When hunting for successful MLB stolen base picks today, targeting the right pitcher is half the battle. The following list is made up of the day’s starting pitchers who have allowed the most stolen bases this season.

 

Catchers Allowing the Most Stolen Bases

The final piece of the puzzle for finding the best stolen base predictions involves looking behind the dish at catcher pop times and throwing accuracy. How many times teams attempt to steal a base on a particular catcher is a strong indicator of who we expect to see doing the most running today. The following backstops have the lowest Caught Stealing% with a minimum of 10 SB attempts against them.

 

 

 

Best MLB Stolen Base Picks Today:

Locking in the best stolen base predictions means finding the absolute perfect storm of a high-on-base runner and a weak battery. Here are our top two MLB stolen base picks today for Saturday, May 23:

Favorite Bets: 

Jose Caballero, New York Yankees (+201)

It seems a little lame bringing up the guy who has the best odds to steal a base today, but sometimes you just have to go to where the data points you. This is about Drew Rasmussen allowing the most stolen bases of any pitcher on the slate and the weak 17-percent caught-stealing rate of the Rays catchers. Caballero only has a 68.4-percent success rate, but his 28.2 sprint-speed and 13 stolen bases continue to push us in that direction. I’d be surprised if the Rays started Hunter Feduccia against a lefty today, so I expect to see Nick Fortes who may have gunned down Caballero last night, but still has the weaker caught-stealing rate. Even if it is Feduccia, I still feel okay about this. Caballero hits righties well which helps, but I would be remiss if I didn’t mention Rasmussen’s talents, so getting on-base is going to be key. If you’re concerned at all with how well Rasmussen has pitched against righties and are looking for the lefty/righty matchup, you could also try Jazz Chisholm at +318 today. 

Konnor Griffin, Pittsburgh Pirates (+250)

He’s facing Patrick Corbin today, a southpaw who has allowed five stolen bases this season, third-most on the slate. You saw other Pirates up to, but I’ll lean Griffin for a few reasons. Number one is his .306 average with a .347 wOBA against lefties. That .478 BABIP means he’s making plenty of contact and putting the ball in-play more often than not. Blue Jays catcher Tyler Heineman has a 27-percent caught-stealing rate on 15 attempts, so not completely terrible, but still very vulnerable. With Griffin’s near 30 sprint speed mark, his 11 steals and 90-plus success rate, I’ll definitely get some action on him today.