Welcome back to the best stolen base picks for today. While yesterday’s article didn’t lead us to the Promised Land, our research continues to point us in positive directions and is helping us learn so much about the pitchers, the base-runners, and, most importantly, the catchers. We are just two months into the season and once the dog days of summer hit and the baserunners start flying around, we are going to have a plan of attack like no other. We’ve got some of our favorite pitchers to attack on the mound today, so let’s dive into the research first and then let’s get to the MLB stolen base picks today.

Also, don’t forget to check out my new weekly stolen base report, as that series will continue to accrue data which will help us out on a daily basis. The new one comes out on Saturday (tomorrow). And speaking of daily help…you’ll also want to check out the best fantasy sports promo codes from the top legal sites in your state. And don’t forget to also crush your MLB DFS contests today with our DFS Playbook, Starting Lineups, Lineup Generator & DFS Tools!

 

 

 

Best MLB Stolen Base Prop Predictions Today

Identifying the best stolen base predictions requires matching elite sprint speeds against defensive liabilities and today’s board features incredible betting value across several players, from top stars to some bottom-of-the-lineup supporting characters. Take a look below but let’s be sure to match them up with the pitchers allowing the most steals to date. Be sure to check in with our MLB Odds Finder to find the best values. 

*Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook

 

 

 

Pitchers Most Vulnerable to Stolen Bases Today

When hunting for successful MLB stolen base picks today, targeting the right pitcher is half the battle. The following list is made up of the day’s starting pitchers who have allowed the most stolen bases this season.

 

Catchers Allowing the Most Stolen Bases

The final piece of the puzzle for finding the best stolen base predictions involves looking behind the dish at catcher pop times and throwing accuracy. How many times teams attempt to steal a base on a particular catcher is a strong indicator of who we expect to see doing the most running today. The following backstops have the lowest Caught Stealing% with a minimum of 10 SB attempts against them.

 

 

 

Best MLB Stolen Base Picks Today:

Locking in the best stolen base predictions means finding the absolute perfect storm of a high-on-base runner and a weak battery. Here are our top two MLB stolen base picks today for Friday, May 22:

Favorite Bets: 

Corbin Carroll, Arizona Diamondbacks (+284)

Carroll’s 85.7-percent stolen base success rate should shine through against Rockies righthander Tomoyuki Sugano, who has allowed seven stolen bases this season and the Rockies’ catchers’ sub-20-percent caught-stealing rate. Arizona has been one of the hottest-hitting teams over the last week, drawing walks and getting on-base at a 38.2-percent clip, and Caroll has been leading the charge with his .540 wOBA in that span. He also handles soft righthanded pitching extremely well (.355 wOBA) while Sugano allows lefty hitters t post a .405 wOBA against.

Carson Benge, New York Mets (+340)

While most will look to Juan Soto with his “more sensible” odds, I’m going to look at the lefty-swinging Benge who has been entrenched atop the batting order for some time thanks to some spectacular on-base numbers. In fact, over the past seven days, Benge has a .371 wOBA with a .400 OBP. He doesn’t draw a ton of walks, but he also doesn’t strike out, posting a .429 BABIP. He’s hit safely in six-straight games and 10 of his last 11, while posting six multi-hit performances in that span. Marlins righthander Eury Perez has allowed a league-high 17 stolen bases this season. With Benge posting a 88.9-percent success rate on the basepaths and the Marlins backstops combining for just a 12.1-percent caught-stealing rate, this presents as a strong opportunity for us.