MLB Stolen Base Picks Today: Best Stolen Base Predictions For June 10th, 2026
If you’re looking for the best stolen base picks for today, you’re in the right spot. Fantasy Alarm does daily prop picks for stolen bases, home runs and strikeouts, so if you haven’t been following, now is the time. In addition to our analysts making daily picks, we’ve also created data tables for you to use in your own research as well. Our all-new stolen base prop finder is the perfect example of what we are working off of here, and if it helps you to create better prop picks for yourself, we are doing our jobs. But enough of that; you want the picks, so let’s dive into the research and deliver the best in MLB stolen base picks today.
Also, don’t forget to check out the latest edition of the new weekly stolen base report, as that series will continue to accrue data that will help us out on a daily basis. Everything you need for both daily and weekly fantasy baseball help. And speaking of daily help…you’ll also want to check out the best fantasy sports promo codes from the top legal sites in your state. And don’t forget to also crush your MLB DFS contests today with our DFS Playbook, Starting Lineups, Lineup Generator & DFS Tools!
Best MLB Stolen Base Prop Predictions Today
Identifying the best stolen base predictions requires matching elite sprint speeds against defensive liabilities, and today’s board features incredible betting value across several players, from top stars to some bottom-of-the-lineup supporting characters. Take a look below, but let’s be sure to match them up with the pitchers allowing the most steals to date. Be sure to check in with our MLB Odds Finder to find the best values.
- Jorge Mateo, Atlanta Braves (+251)
- Trea Turner, Philadelphia Phillies (+255)
- Chandler Simpson, Tampa Bay Rays (+275)
- Corbin Carroll, Arizona Diamondbacks (+283)
- Jose Ramirez, Cleveland Guardians (+286)
- Nasim Nunez, Washington Nationals (+290)
- David Hamilton, Milwaukee Brewers (+293)
- Randy Arozarena, Seattle Mariners (+295)
*Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook
Pitchers Most Vulnerable to Stolen Bases Today
When hunting for successful MLB stolen base picks today, targeting the right pitcher is half the battle. The following list is made up of the day’s starting pitchers who have allowed the most stolen bases this season.
- Drew Rasmussen, Tampa Bay Rays – 13 SB allowed
- Robbie Ray, San Francisco Giants – 13 SB allowed
- Framber Valdez, Detroit Tigers – 11 SB allowed
- George Kirby, Seattle Mariners – 9 SB allowed
- Reid Detmers, Los Angeles Angels – 8 SB allowed
Catchers Allowing the Most Stolen Bases
The final piece of the puzzle for finding the best stolen base predictions involves looking behind the dish at catcher pop times and throwing accuracy. How many times teams attempt to steal a base on a particular catcher is a strong indicator of who we expect to see doing the most running today. The following backstops have the lowest Caught Stealing% with a minimum of 10 SB attempts against them.
- Ivan Herrera, St. Louis Cardinals – 0% CS (13 att)
- Jonah Heim, Athletics – 7% CS (15 att)
- Drake Baldwin, Atlanta Braves – 7% CS (15 att)
- Francisco Alvarez, New York Mets – 9% CS (11 att)
- Sebastian Rivero, Los Angeles Angels – 10% CS (10 att)
- Austin Hedges, Cleveland Guardians – 10% CS (20 att)
- Victor Caratini, Minnesota Twins – 11% CS (28 att)
- Bo Naylor, Cleveland Guardians – 13% CS (16 att)
- Austin Wells, New York Yankees – 13% CS (15 att)
- Dillon Dingler, Detroit Tigers – 13% CS (23 att)
Best MLB Stolen Base Picks Today:
Locking in the best stolen base predictions means finding the absolute perfect storm of a high-on-base runner and a weak battery. Here are our top two MLB stolen base picks today for Wednesday, June 10:
Favorite Bets:
Nasim Nunez, Washington Nationals (+290)
Giants lefty Robbie Ray has allowed the most stolen bases, and while their catcher, Daniel Susac, has been strong at throwing out runners, we are going to ride the Nunez wave until it breaks. At least this wave. The switch-hitting second baseman is posting a .327 wOBA against southpaws and has hit safely in each of his last four games with two stolen bases in that span. Ray has been weak against right-handed hitters, allowing them a .355 wOBA, so I am expecting Nunez to find his way on base and steal one too.
Jarren Duran, Boston Red Sox (+362)
Rays righty Drew Rasmussen has also allowed a slate-high 13 stolen bases, and his catchers have a combined caught-stealing rate of 22.5-percent. The Red Sox aren’t a tremendously aggressive team on the bases, but we’ll invest in Duran, who tends to be one of the more aggressive guys once he gets on base. He’s got 11 steals on the year, and we’re banking on Rasmussen’s struggles against left-handed hitters. It’s a bit of a long shot, but for this slate in particular, it should be one of our better options.
