MLB Home Run Picks Today: Best Home Run Predictions for June 19th, 2026
Hopefully you were able to cash in with Juan Soto going yard (twice) yesterday so that you’re with us in terms of going for FIVE straight days of winning MLB home run picks! It’s just yet another streak that we’re on, and with it being the start of the weekend, we’re always here for some Friday night fireworks. It also means that we have the entire league back on the diamond to consider for our top MLB home run predictions today.
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⚾ Top MLB Home Run Picks for Today
With the weekend series getting underway, it means that you’ll also want more markets to be covered, and therefore, you’ll want to check out our MLB expert picks as well. If you haven’t already seen another one of our newer tools like the strikeout finder, our MLB home run prop tool is also implemented for even more MLB home run picks targets than the ones that you’ll see here:
- Nick Kurtz: +265 at BetMGM Sportsbook
- Bryan Reynolds: +400 at bet365 Sportsbook
- Jordan Walker: +345 at FanDuel Sportsbook
🔥 Best Matchups for Home Runs Today, 6/19: Ballpark Factors & Weather Impact
There is certainly no lack of tools for you, as our MLB weather report is one of the primary ones that we use for these HR streaks that we end up being on. In addition to forecasts, other factors that affect MLB home run picks are lefty/righty splits for both hitters and pitchers, pitch types, barrel and hard-hit rates, HR/FB ratios, and more.
Nick Kurtz (+265)
We began this latest streak with the A’s lefty, and that’s where we’re going to look to extend it heading into the weekend. Not only is he already speaking for himself at this point, but he also gets yet another weekend series in Sacramento, which will always be rivaling Coors Field as the best spots for MLB home run picks this season.
Despite this being a chalk pick, Jose Soriano may have some fans staying away. He does like to mix in sinkers, curveballs and even splitters, but when it comes to facing lefties, he’s been far worse with .326 wOBA and seven homers allowed. While those are record-breakingly bad, we do still have the lackluster Angel’s bullpen to work with.
So, there is still value despite the chalk pick by starting our best MLB home run picks for today with Nick Kurtz to hit a HR (+265 at BetMGM).
Bryan Reynolds (+400)
We just noted Coors Field, and interestingly enough, it was the Pittsburgh Pirates that cashed in for us the day after starting this streak with Nick Kurtz. That time, it was a Brandon Lowe homer in the top of the ninth inning, but now we’re swapping to the switch hitter. That’s because he’s taking on Kyle Freeland, who’s always a strong target for MLB home run picks.
As a lefty starter, Reynolds has the better matchup. That would be putting it lightly, as not only is he hitting over .300 vs. southpaws on the season, but over the past month, he’s hitting a whopping .405 with a .811 slugging! Expect him to hit from the right side, with Freeland having allowed 13 homers to righties.
More importantly, expect Bryan Reynolds to hit a HR (+400 at bet365) to cash in for our top MLB home run picks today.
Jordan Walker (+345)
We mentioned sinkers, curveballs, and others above, and the St. Louis Cardinals are going to see those from Seth Lugo as well. While he has one of the deepest pitch arsenals in the league, that doesn’t mean success. He’s getting smacked around these days, and the weather in KC is also great for MLB home run picks.
That’s why we saw a 14-6 game last night, but not a single HR from the Cards. We have that changing today with their cleanup man. Alec Burleson is absolutely in play and has been one of the hottest hitters as of late. We’re going slightly against the grain with Lugo having allowed more HRs to righties while also facing far fewer of such hitters.
We’ve got to lock one of them in, and we’ll do so with Jordan Walker hitting a HR (+345 at FanDuel) to close out our top three MLB home run picks for today.
🚀 Longshot Home Run Picks Today
So you’re telling us that there’s a game at Coors Field and we get monster longshot odds? We’re in. Here’s our best MLB home run longshot pick for today:
This is a name that you’ve seen us roll with a time or two, and while he may only have four homers this season, there’s a reason he’s been moved up in the lineup all the way to the #2 spot at one point. With Bubba Chandler’s heat coming in, Karros’ sweep-spot % can create some heat going on, making him our top MLB home run longshot pick today.
💲 Today’s Best MLB Home Run Parlay
With our highlight in the Jordan Walker breakdown, you already knew at least one of the names coming in for our biggest potential payout of the day. Here are our best MLB home run picks for today:
As always, you get to use our best MLB home run picks however works best for you. Just enjoy some Friday night fireworks!
