After all-day Saturday action on the diamond, we get to close out the weekend in the same way with a full afternoon slate leading up to Sunday Night Baseball. So, let’s close it out in style with our MLB home run picks! While we didn’t extend that streak after cashing TWO targets the day prior, we’re always here to break things down for you. With every team about to tee off, let’s get into our top MLB home run predictions today.

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⚾ Top MLB Home Run Picks for Today

While we know that you’re here for dingers, you’ll still want to make the most of other markets as well with our MLB expert picks. In fact, our MLB home run picks have been going well enough for us to also create an MLB home run prop tool for you! All that said, if you just want the names of our top three targets…

 

🔥 Best Matchups for Home Runs Today, 6/14: Ballpark Factors & Weather Impact

Yet another tool that we’ve had for you to help locking in MLB home run picks is our MLB weather report. Wind and humidity are factors that have a massive impact on the longball that many fans overlook.

As for other metrics that are beyond surface level, factors like barrel rates and hard-hit rates for both batters and pitchers are important. Along with the ballparks themselves and factors like HR/FB ratios and lefty/righty splits, let’s fully break down each of our top MLB home run predictions today.

Sal Stewart (+333)

After a Corbin Carroll home run in the first inning, the Diamondbacks vs. Reds matchup ended in a rare low-scoring game at the Great American Ball Park; it was a 2-1 win for the home team. We expect more runs today, with Cinci taking on AZ starter Zac Gallen, who is a prime target for MLB home run picks today.

JJ Bleday is a strong lefty option, but when it comes to Gallen, his splits are drastic in either direction. So, we’re going to lock in the young righty. Gallen likes to mix in his curve and change-up to lefties, whereas Stewart won’t see them as much. That helps with his remarkable barrel rate to help us cash one of our best MLB home run picks for today with Sal Stewart to hit a HR (+333 at Novig).

Fernando Tatis, Jr. (+400)

In that same game, with the Reds starting lefty Andrew Abbott, you can absolutely take Ketel Marte as another target. He does have odds in the lower +200’s, so how about we continue getting better value with our MLB home run picks? To do so, we’ve got our eyes on the Padres vs. Orioles series on a humid Baltimore day with double-digit winds blowing out.

Yes, you’re seeing correctly, we’re going with the guy that everyone has been dogging on all season given how long it took him to hit a dinger. He’s now hit two, and despite such a low number of homers, he has the shortest odds of ANYONE in this game to go yard at some books (bet365 is supreme value here)! Facing a lefty in Trevor Rogers, it makes sense.

The leadoff man is hitting .327/.500/.897 vs. southpaws this year, so let’s cash another one of our best MLB home run picks for today on the very first pitch of the game with Fernando Tatis, Jr. hitting a HR (+400 at bet365).

Yandy Diaz (+500)

One spot that doesn’t seem to be getting enough attention in the long ball department today is Angel Stadium. LA is starting Grayson Rodriguez, and their bullpen is terrible - enough said. We’ll note that lefties are MASHING the righty starter this season, so Jonathan Aranda is a strong option for MLB home run picks today.

That said, although he’s a righty, we simply cannot ignore the greatness that is Yandy Diaz. He’s been one of the best hitters period, and against righties, he’s hitting .324/.517/.922 and when it comes to Grayson, he doesn’t stray away from his four-seamer as much against righties. Several Tampa guys can go yard today, but we’ll lock in Yandy Diaz hitting a HR (+500 at Caesars) as part of our best MLB home run picks for today. 

 

🚀 Longshot Home Run Picks Today

Given that we’ve got 15 games to enjoy throughout the day on Sunday, we’ve also dug deeper into the matchups to hook you up with our best MLB home run longshot pick for today.

There’s no denying that the center fielder may not be known for power, but he’s hit eight homers this year and Washington is a good spot for dingers today. Seattle starter Emerson Hancock keeps things in the zone, and it only takes one for us to cash our best MLB home run longshot pick for today!

 

💲 Today’s Best MLB Home Run Parlay

Ready for an even bigger potential payout? Beyond our top three targets and the longshot above, here’s our best MLB home run parlay for today.

Don’t forget, you can always just stick with our top MLB home run picks as the focus and just throw in a for-fun extra parlay pick. It’s 100% up to you how to take advantage of all of the information above!