A Shea Langeliers 448-foot jack against the Los Angeles Dodgers last night meant three straight days cashing our best MLB home run picks! With the weekend in our sights, we may have a lighter Thursday slate, but we can still make it as valuable as possible by making it four straight days. After all, with the weekend also being the 4th of July, why not enjoy some early fireworks? We’ve got afternoon action to enjoy as well, so let’s get locked and loaded with the best MLB home run predictions for today!

You’ll also want to check out the best fantasy sports promo codes from the top legal sites in your state. Make sure that you also crush your MLB DFS contests today with our DFS Playbook, Starting Lineups, Lineup Generator & DFS Tools!

⚾ Top MLB Home Run Picks for Today

Of course, we have far more than just MLB home run picks for you. So, be sure to check out our MLB expert picks along with the fantasy tools shared above. Speaking of tools, one of the newest ones that we’ve released for you is our exclusive MLB home run prop tool. Let’s see if we targeted any of the guys that you end up liking within that tool…

 

 

🔥 Best Matchups for Home Runs Today, 7/2: Ballpark Factors & Weather Impact

Our tools never come to an end, as we’ve also got our MLB weather report for you, which is where we always begin in terms of finding the best spots for MLB home run picks. Following the environmental condition breakdown, starting pitchers come next. That means lefty/righty splits, their preferred pitch types, xSLG percentages, and more.

The same applies for hitters in terms of their lefty/righty splits, how they perform against specific pitch types, xSLG percentages, and even their barrel/hard-hit rates. As you can see, there is a ton that goes into who makes the cut for our best MLB home run picks today!

Bobby Witt, Jr. (+325)

We don’t have Sacramento to target for another Shea Langeliers homer, but we do have Kansas City. That’s right - Kauffman Stadium leads off our targets today, and with it involving Junior Caminero, how could we possibly not be targeting the unreal hot streak he’s on? Well, we like to provide you with value when it comes to our best MLB home run picks.

His odds have plummeted to nearly +200, so let’s instead target a stud on the home team. The non-ideal part of this is that Rays “starter” Ian Seymour loves throwing off-speed stuff, but as a lefty, the KC shortstop can still smash him; Bobby Witt, Jr. is hitting a ridiculous .347/.560/.972 against southpaws over the course of the season.

It was even better in June (.385/.577/1.029), and he recently had a two-homer game. So, we’re leading off our best MLB home run picks for today with Bobby Witt, Jr. to hit a HR (+325 at bet365).

Colson Montgomery (+325)

Before we move on, two guys in smash spots today are Shohei Ohtani and Kyle Schwarber. However, with odds at around +202 and +173 (what!?), we’re leaving them out again for more value. So, let’s head to Cleveland instead. This is not a stadium known for MLB home run picks, but with Slade Cecconi on the mound, we don’t care.

If he were a lefty, we’d snag even more value by targeting Miguel Vargas. Since he’s not, we’ll go to the left side of the plate and go with another shortstop. Montgomery isn’t nearly as consistent as Bobby, but he’s still got 21 homers on the year. Cecconi doesn’t discriminate in terms of who he allows them to either, so we’re happy with the southpaw.

After hitting one on June 30 and having yesterday off, we’re adding to our best MLB home run picks for today with Colson Montgomery to hit a HR (+325 at Caesars).

Andy Pages (+401)

Well, we mentioned Ohtani, so it’s safe to say that LA is on our radar. How could they not be? San Diego Padres starter Randy Vasquez is flat-out awful. His xERA of 7.05 is absolutely embarrassing, so yes, several Dodgers hitters can cash some MLB home run picks today. We have to pick someone, and it’s been a while since this value has been seen.

Andy Pages feels like a home run machine when he’s in a groove, and this is his spot to start a streak (like us). He’s sitting at 16 homers on the season after hitting one in Sacramento a few days ago, and Dodger Stadium is looking juicy tonight as well. He hasn’t hit a dinger against the division and in-state rival this year, either.

That changes tonight when we cash in with our MLB home run picks by locking in Andy Pages to hit a HR (+401 at Novig).

🚀 Longshot Home Run Picks Today

Now that you’ve gotten a full breakdown for each of our top targets, let’s quickly get you an even bigger potential payout. Consider adding to our MLB home run predictions above with today’s longshot…

Look, this isn’t an absolutely monster play like we love to give you, but let’s start hitting these, and on top of that, just look at the name attached to his price. Right now, it’s all about Junior in Tampa, but Yandy is among the best hitters in all of baseball, much more consistently. Perhaps his shoulder being slightly banged up is why we see this price, but we’re pouncing on it and making him our best MLB home run longshot pick for today.
 

 

 

💲 Today’s Best MLB Home Run Parlay

When it comes to an even bigger potential payout with a for-fun parlay, simply piecing together our top three targets is certainly a fair approach. For another top MLB home run parlay for today, we’ve made one for you here…

The month of July is already all about the MLB season, so it’s also all about the longball, dingers, bombs, or however you like to refer to the most exciting aspect of the game. Just be sure to make the most of our best MLB home run picks for today and more!