MLB Home Run Picks Today: Best HR Predictions for April 29th, 2026
We saw all 30 teams and all 15 series on the diamond last night, but with no afternoon action. Well, that changes in a massive way today, and speaking of massive, why not add to it with some MLB home run picks? After all, they provide massive payouts, and we just hit another one with Elly De La Cruz last night! Our MLB home run predictions include our best MLB HR parlay for today as well, so you won’t want to miss out!
You’ll also want to check out the best fantasy sports promo codes from the top legal sites in your state. Make sure that you also crush your MLB DFS contests today with our DFS Playbook, Starting Lineups, Lineup Generator & DFS Tools!
⚾ Top MLB Home Run Picks for Today
Along with the variety of tools above, you can also make the most of our best MLB home run picks for today by pairing them with our MLB expert picks. As for our targets today, while we’ve got a breakdown of each one coming up, you can see the names right off the bat below:
- Vladimir Guerrero, Jr.: +502 at DraftKings
- Nick Kurtz: +262 at Novig
- Tyler Stephenson: +470 at FanDuel
🔥 Best Matchups for Home Runs Today, 4/29: Ballpark Factors & Weather Impact
As promised, we’re going to share why those are our top MLB home run predictions for today. First and foremost, bookmarking our very own MLB weather report is a good first factor to check out at the start of each day.
Beyond that, especially in domed stadiums, we’ll want to consider starting pitchers and hitter factors like barrel rates, hard contact rates, and lefty/righty splits. With those things in mind and more, let us further explain our best MLB home run predictions for today.
Vladimir Guerrero (+502)
We’re going to get things started with one of today’s afternoon games, which is also an AL East rivalry. The Red Sox vs. Blue Jays series has featured back-to-back games in which one team was shut out, but with Brayan Bello on the mound for Boston, this is where we want to begin our best MLB home run picks for today.
Even if that wasn’t the case, Vladdy has proven that he is as matchup-proof as it gets. So, it also doesn’t hurt that in 30 at-bats against Bellow, he’s hitting .400 with a .733 slugging percentage! That’s a solid sample size, and with his known power, we love starting our MLB home run picks with Vladimir Guerrero to hit a HR (+502 at DraftKings).
Nick Kurtz (+262)
We saw Bobby Witt, Jr. and Salvador Perez go yard last night in Sacramento, and we’re targeting that game again. Those dingers helped prove why the Triple-A ballpark is considered hitter-friendly, so why not lock in a play here? To add to our best MLB home run picks for today, we’re eyeing Nick Kurtz.
He recently had a stretch of four homers in just six games, and three of those were on the road. Now at home, the conditions are even better, and the leadoff man can get this done in the first inning. Michael Wacha isn’t the easiest matchup, but as a lefty, we’re going to trust him to help us hit another one of our MLB home run picks on Nick Kurtz to hit a HR (+262 at Novig).
Tyler Stephenson (+470)
To round things out, let’s go back to the Cincinnati Reds. Again, we cashed with Elly De La Cruz last night, and this time, we’ve got our sights set on Tyler Stephenson. You can certainly go with the “square” pick of Sal Stewart here, but both can get the job done for our MLB home run picks hitting against Tomoyuki Sugano.
There was a chance that he was going to start last night, but the Colorado Rockies went with Kyle Freeland instead. We certainly appreciated that, and of course, so did De La Cruz. The hitter-friendly Great American Ball Park is still a factor here, as are the double-digit winds blowing out. So, let’s add to our MLB home run picks with Tyler Stephenson to hit a HR (+470 at FanDuel).
🚀 Longshot Home Run Picks Today
We also promised to go beyond just our top three targets. Any form of plus-money odds is awesome, but even juicier ones never hurt! So, here’s our best MLB home run longshot pick for today:
- Ke’Bryan Hayes: +1100 at bet365
We’re already locked into that Rockies vs. Reds series, so this one correlates perfectly. He’s been finding his swing since getting that first homer with four hits in the four games since then. It’s still a flyer, but we’ll make Hayes our best MLB home run longshot pick for today!
💲 Today’s Best MLB Home Run Parlay
Still wanting more? Not a problem - we can get an even better payout than the one above. That’s by simply piecing things together into our best MLB home run parlay for today:
- Vladdy, Kurtz & Stephenson: +12400 at Novig, so a $10 bet pays $1,250!
We’ve got more than a handful of afternoon games to enjoy, and now you’re armed with incredibly valuable ways to do so. Even if we didn’t target a player from your favorite team, we’d bet that you won’t be upset with some MLB home run picks that hit today!
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