Courtesy of Wilyer Abreu, we were able to cash in yet again with our MLB home run picks last night, which was a +400 winner! Of course, we can’t get complacent with just that when we have a loaded slate for today to enjoy! As always, the longball is a way to add to the fireworks with some great value in terms of plus-money odds. To help you find the best spots, we’ve broken down the entire board to help you lock in the best MLB home run predictions for today!

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⚾ Top MLB Home Run Picks for Today

For a ton of fans, MLB home run picks are the most exciting way to attack the baseball slate, but for more approaches, our MLB expert picks have you covered. So too does our MLB home run prop tool for those wanting more HR targets only. Speaking of which, here are our best MLB home run picks for today.

 

 

🔥 Best Matchups for Home Runs Today, 6/24: Ballpark Factors & Weather Impact

Don’t worry - we wouldn’t leave you hanging with just the names. We’ve also hooked you up with the factors that went into our top MLB home run predictions, starting with the hitting conditions brought to you by our MLB weather report.

The next surface-level factor would be starting pitchers, which are one of the first things for many markets. Simply lefty/righty splits for both those guys and the hitters facing them are key, as are bullpen performances. Then, it’s all about underlying metrics like barrel and hard-hit rates for hitters and expected ERA for pitchers. So, let’s fully break down our best MLB home run picks for today.

Corbin Carroll (+500)

When we’ve got locations like Coors Field and Chicago on the menu for today, you wouldn’t think that Busch Stadium in St. Louis would be our starting point. That’s even more true with both the Diamondbacks and Cardinals struggling to get on the scoreboard this series. Even still, we’ve got a similar reason for our MLB home run picks in terms of a previous huge winner.

When we cashed a Corbin Carroll homer not too long ago at +550 odds to hit a massive 3-for-3 HR day, it was because of his unmatched lefty vs. lefty prowess. Now, he gets to face Cards starter Matthew Liberatore. We could provide a laundry list of numbers against southpaws for Carroll, but we’ll leave it at a .394/.670/1.123 split this season alone.

Therefore, we love that we get to start our best MLB home run picks for today with such great value by locking in Corbin Carroll hitting a HR (+500 at bet365).

James Wood (+325)

That’s right - we’re targeting a series that features the Phillies WITHOUT targeting Kyle Schwarber! Truthfully, he is indeed the most likely to go yard in their game against the Nationals, but with the odds slapped on him these days, there is just little value. That’s why we’re adding to our MLB home run picks with a different lefty.

James Wood is also just a different leadoff guy and arguably the better overall hitter. While it was teammate CJ Abrams who went deep in three straight games recently against the Tampa Bay Rays, we still love the leadoff man. Aaron Nola’s curveball isn’t perfect for dingers, but he’s also as inconsistent as it gets.

We also saw a ton of late runs scored in this matchup last night, so we’re more than comfortable with adding to our best MLB home run picks for today with James Wood to hit a HR (+325 at bet365).

Brice Turang (+515)

Ok, let’s just be real about it - this Brewers vs. Reds series at the Great American Ball Park has been the complete OPPOSITE of what it should look like on paper. The location, starters we’ve seen, and at least Cinci’s bullpen is terrible. Despite all that, runs in general have been hard to come by, let alone MLB home run picks.

Even still, we can’t let a small sample size ruin the fireworks. We trusted Coors Field to help a subpar Boston lineup last night, and we cashed in, so we’re willing to do the same today. We’re doing so with the Brew Crew given the Reds starting Rhett Lowder; every homer he’s allowed this season has been vs. lefties, hence our target.

Yes, you’ve seen the name recently (and of course, Jake Bauers is your other option), but we’re still willing to lock in Brice Turang to hit a HR (+515 at BetMGM) to close out our best MLB home run picks for today.

🚀 Longshot Home Run Picks Today

We’ve gone from just a list of names to the factors that went into the picks, so let’s continue going a step further. To do so, here is our best MLB home run longshot pick for today.

Anytime we can get longshot odds at Coors Field, we’ll be paying attention. That’s especially true when we have a guy who can hit lefties well (.289 this season) and, despite having just four homers, has one of the best sweet-spot percentages in baseball. That’s why the Rockies third baseman is our best MLB home run longshot pick for today!
 

 

 

💲 Today’s Best MLB Home Run Parlay

Some fans are also fans of predicting double dongs for guys to homer twice, especially thanks to Kyle Schwarber. For another approach with a massive potential payout, here is a for-fun parlay to enjoy with our top MLB home run picks.

You could also just pluck a single name from that trio to play by itself. In any case, it’s seven names that you can attack to fully make the most of our best MLB home run picks for today!