In case you didn’t get your fill of fireworks for the 4th of July yesterday, we’ve got you covered. We’ve got you covered with our best MLB home run picks to make the most of what many baseball fans consider to be the best day of the week. Sundays mean action all throughout the afternoon leading up to the featured Sunday Night Baseball game to truly cap off the holiday weekend. So, let’s see who made the cut for our top MLB home run predictions today!

You’ll also want to check out the best fantasy sports promo codes from the top legal sites in your state. Make sure that you also crush your MLB DFS contests today with our DFS PlaybookStarting LineupsLineup GeneratorDFS Tools!

⚾ Top MLB Home Run Picks for Today

Along with the fantasy helpers above, our tools are never-ending, including our new and exclusive MLB home run prop tool. To go beyond just MLB home run picks, simply head over to our MLB expert picks to see what other markets we have covered today. As for those who are our favorite targets to hit dingers today…

 

 

 

🔥 Best Matchups for Home Runs Today, 7/5: Ballpark Factors & Weather Impact

Speaking of never-ending tools, our very own MLB weather report has been our first stop while cashing our MLB home run picks all season. From there, it’s all about the starters on the mound, which today range from Miles Mikolas to Joe Ryan.

Those guys also have two of the worst bullpens in the league, so it presents a unique situation when it comes to considering MLB home run predictions in their matchups. As for hitters, they also have studs out to support them in James Wood and Byron Buxton. They’ve got some top-tier barrel and hard-hit rates, and you’ll see other metrics mentioned while fully breaking down our best MLB home run picks for today.

Hunter Goodman (+240)

The Giants vs. Rockies series helped us enjoy a Rafael Devers winner, and while our target at Coors Field didn’t come through for us last night, we’re going back to the park famous for homers to get things started. Why not? Tyler Mahle is starting for San Francisco! That means several MLB home run picks should cash for Colorado.

It also means that we should see Mickey Moniak back in the lineup after avoiding lefty Robbie Ray last night. However, we’re actually going with a righty vs. righty pick given Mahle’s splits. It’s not often you see such a drastic difference, but with a 2.12 WHIP vs. righties and a WHIP nearly lower than 1 vs. lefties, it’s the right play.

While it’s why the catcher is one of the top favorites of the entire board, our chalk pick from our MLB home run picks today leads things off - Hunter Goodman to hit a HR (+240 at FanDuel).

Byron Buxton (+235)

The Yankees let us down yesterday in terms of hitting dingers in the HR-friendly ballpark, but just about everyone on the Twins seemed to hit one. Well, everyone other than the chalk pick in their lineup. Even still, Buxton had a nice RBI double from the #2 spot in the lineup, but it’s time to cash one of our MLB home run picks.

He gets to face lefty Ryan Weathers today to give teammate Joe Ryan some run support. While this is another popular pick for today, we just don’t want to pass up this spot. New York’s southpaw has allowed 16 homers this season, 13 of which have come against right-handed hitters. He’s certainly faced more of them, but Buxton’s no slouch vs. lefties, either.

It’s time for the slugger to hit bomb #26 this season and help us hit one of our best MLB home run picks for today with Byron Buxton hitting a HR (+235 at bet365).

Bryce Harper (+475)

Ok, who’s ready for more value? No more chalk picks just to start a new streak. Given this household name, he SHOULD be a chalk pick, but each time we’ve cashed with this lefty (yes, multiple), it’s been with some juicy odds. Let Kyle Schwarber be part of MLB home run picks for other guys and take those awful odds in the +100’s.

Instead, we’re getting this awesome price for a lefty that hit righties even better than Schwarber in June AND had more homers than him against such pitching (seven to Schwarber’s five). They can certainly both yard today vs. KC starter Luinder Avila, especially in the VERY hitter-friendly Kauffman Stadium (even with slight wind blowing in today).

Along with the Royals poor bullpen, we love adding Bryce Harper to hit a HR (+475 at BetMGM) to our best MLB home run picks for today with this price.

 

 

 

🚀 Longshot Home Run Picks Today

While not every hitter has such strong numbers to support the longball or even as great of matchups, that doesn’t mean that it’s impossible to hit a round-tripper. Those types of guys provide us with some huge potential payouts as well. So, consider adding to our top MLB home run picks above with…

Kauffman Stadium isn’t just hitter-friendly, it’s TOP FIVE in that regard. With the warm and humid conditions continuing in KC, we don’t see that stopping today. Even without that, a guy with 15 homers at this price - count us in. A different Phillies lefty is our best MLB home run longshot pick for today!

 

 

 

💲 Today’s Best MLB Home Run Parlay

There is also a way in which we can target top-tier home-run hitters while getting an even greater potential payout than a longshot. That, of course, is by piecing together multiple guys to hit dingers. With that in mind, here’s our best MLB home run parlay for today…

Sundays during the summer are already awesome for baseball fans, especially when it wraps up a holiday. Continue celebrating America’s 250th with our best MLB home run picks for today and more!