Thursday's lighter slate is actually a gift for our best MLB home run picks for today - fewer games means we can laser-focus on the matchups that really stand out rather than spreading attention across a 15-game board. Spencer Strider vs. Sandy Alcantara in Miami headlines the card, but it's the other arms on the mound that have our attention for the long ball. So, let’s enjoy some top MLB home run predictions for the more chill day on the diamond!

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⚾ Top MLB Home Run Picks for Today

Seven games are all we need for some outstanding best MLB home run picks for today. Of course, this article is focused on just that market, but our MLB expert picks provide additional markets as well. As for the long ball, here are the three names leading our best MLB home run picks for today:

 

 

🔥 Best Matchups for Home Runs Today, 5/21: Ballpark Factors & Weather Impact

With a noon start in Cleveland and afternoon action in St. Louis, our MLB weather report is worth checking early today. For example, the Bronx had a rain delay last night, but the forecast looks excellent for tonight. 

The pitching names to flag for our best MLB home run picks: Eduardo Rodriguez closes the night in Arizona, Carlos Rodon is on the mound in New York against Toronto, and Dustin May starts in St. Louis. Let's see which matchups made the cut for our best MLB home run picks for today.

Aaron Judge (+285)

Look, we already know that Mike Trout is crushing one in LA tonight against Luis Severino. Well, another one of the most popular names for MLB home run predictions is the epitome of the Bronx Bomber, who has never been more “due” for a dinger. Along with this being a far different game from last night, this is the “square” pick from our best MLB home run picks for today.

Yankee Stadium remains home-run-friendly, and rather than Trey Yesavage hitting his K prop for the fourth straight game, Judge gets to face an opener for Toronto in Brayden Fisher. That’s the plan alongside Spencer Miles, and neither of them scares us. The 6-foot-7 beast hasn’t hit a dinger in 10 games, so we love starting our best MLB home run picks for today with Aaron Judge to hit a HR (+285 at BetMGM).

Shea Langeliers (+365)

While this is a name that you’ve seen before, it’s still not nearly as “chalk” as an Aaron Judge homer pick is. Firstly, Nick Kurtz is the one who has been on fire for the A’s. However, it’s also why we’re seeing pitchers throw around him, and Los Angeles Angels starter Jose Soriano doesn’t have the best control. So, this is how we want to add to our top MLB home run picks.

There’s no doubt that Soriano has been a target for K props this season, but as he’s diversified his pitch arsenal with a sinker, curveball, four-seamer, and splitter with relatively equal usages, he’s been prone to less control. That sets up nicely for the A’s catcher, who has been hitting .318 with a .969 OPS vs. righties this year.

Along with LA’s bullpen having the 2nd-highest ERA in the league, we’ve got Shea Langeliers to hit a HR (+365 at Caesars) as part of our best MLB home run picks for today. 

Hunter Goodman (+464)

After sweeping the San Francisco Giants, the Arizona Diamondbacks immediately start up another NL West rivalry against the Colorado Rockies. While it’s not at the HR paradise of Coors Field, Chase Field isn’t exactly a pitcher’s park either. Along with the guys on the mound, it’s another spot worthy of MLB home run picks today.

It’s quite tempting to take a D-back with how they just looked against San Fran, but we’re going to exploit their starter instead. Lefty Eduardo Rodriguez may not have given up a homer vs. Colorado in his last outing, but he’s still inconsistent. The Rockies rested Hunter Goodman yesterday (he pinch hit) as catchers do, and facing a righty, but he’s ready to rock versus a southpaw.

This matchup has the highest total on the board as well, so we’re going to add to our best MLB home run picks for today with Hunter Goodman to hit a HR (+464 at Novig).

🚀 Longshot Home Run Picks Today

Fewer games on the Thursday card mean the longshot market requires a bit more digging, but that's exactly where we thrive. Here's the play we're rolling with for today's big potential payout:

Just 2 days ago, we targeted Jeff McNeil in A’s vs. Angels as our best MLB home run longshot pick at odds north of +900, and he went yard last night. Well, the conditions in LA remain the best for tonight’s slate, so we’re back to that series. This time, we’ll go with a lefty in the home team’s lineup since that’s the valuable approach against Luis Severino. Let’s lock in our best MLB home run longshot pick for today on LA’s first baseman.
 

 

 

💲 Today’s Best MLB Home Run Parlay

Stack our featured targets or mix in a name from Thursday's card alongside one of our best MLB home run picks for today:

You now have several approaches under your belt to add to the Thursday slate! Whether you use just one of our top MLB home run picks today or mix and match for a supreme, for-fun parlay, let’s make the most of the final day before the weekend!