Polymarket Prediction Market MLB Picks Today: Best Predictions For July 18th, 2026
Following the first full slate since the All-Star break is the first full weekend, and this Saturday slate features plenty of afternoon action. In fact, it’s MOSTLY earlier games, so you really need the best Polymarket prediction market MLB picks. It all starts with a classic early Wrigley Field game and wraps up in LA, so there is plenty to break down. Along with the top Polymarket MLB predictions below, you’ll also find their GUARANTEED Polymarket promo code promo code bonus!
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⚾ Top Polymarket Prediction Market MLB Picks for Today
Speaking of adding things on top of our Polymarket prediction market MLB picks today, simply check out our MLB expert picks. Better yet, just bookmark that tracker so that you get all of our picks for every sport every day! As for the action on the diamond, we have so many names to consider on the mound alone.
Guys like Jesus Luzardo and Tarik Skubal are always big strikeout guys, and we also have the other end of the spectrum to exploit like Rhett Lowder and Zack Littell. Prime summer hitting environments are also in full swing in terms of warm, humid conditions, so we aren’t surprised to see some high totals floating around. So, let’s see which markets provide the best Polymarket prediction market MLB picks!
🔥 Best Value Plays on the Polymarket Prediction Market Board: Jared Jones Over 5.5 K’s (Trade at Polymarket)
There is zero time to waste with Pirates vs. Guardians leading off the slate today. That’s thanks to yesterday’s postponement due to air quality, and for Game 1, we’re seeing the same starting pitching matchup. While many fans will be on Gavin Williams for Cleveland, the Pittsburgh starter is the focus of our Polymarket prediction market MLB picks.
While his lineup is a great matchup for Williams, Cleveland’s is actually even better! With his line at 5.5 rather than 7.5 like Williams, we can’t pass this up - it’s at plus-money in terms of sportsbook odds! He’s been getting ramped up, which has helped him record 6+ K’s in back-to-back starts now. Given the price, we love leading off our best Polymarket prediction market MLB picks for today with Jared Jones over 5.5 strikeouts (trade at Polymarket).
💪 High-Confidence MLB Predictions Today: Jesus Luzardo Over 6.5 K’s (Trade at Polymarket)
Shortly after that Game 1 of the doubleheader (keep an eye out for Braxton Ashcraft in Game 2 as well) is a Mets vs. Phillies rivalry. We saw this NL East clash as a standalone game to open the second half of the season back on Thursday night where New York pulled off the upset - we had that as the risky pick for our Polymarket prediction market MLB picks!
Well, now they have to deal with an elite lefty that throws an unreal sweeper (even teammate Bryce Harper will tell you that). It’s why we’ve seen Luzardo hit this in five of his last six starts, including multiple double-digit K games. While the outlier was exactly six against the Mets, New York still isn’t a lineup that scares us.
They also feature (and rely on) several southpaws, and with that being great news for the Phillies starter, we love adding to our top Polymarket prediction market MLB picks today with Jesus Luzardo over 6.5 strikeouts (trade at Polymarket).
😬 Riskier Picks With High Upside Tonight: Tarik Skubal Over 8.5 K's (Trade at Polymarket)
As you can see, our strikeout picks just keep climbing in terms of the line we need to hit, but that’s why this is the riskiest of the bunch. While it’s still the reigning back-to-back AL Cy Young winner, needing nine K’s is what makes it the case. That said, Tarik Skubal has done so and come through for Polymarket prediction market MLB picks in four of his last five starts.
The streak came to an end in the last outing prior to the All-Star break, but there is no better matchup to start a new one. The Angels have been great for K’s all season, and for both righties and lefties. Against southpaws specifically, their K rate is the absolute HIGHEST at nearly 29%! Factor in Skubal’s personal 30% K rate and we’ve got Tarik Skubal over 8.5 strikeouts (trade at Polymarket) as part of our best Polymarket prediction market MLB picks for today!
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