After watching both Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper in the 2026 Home Run Derby in front of their home Philly crowd, they will also lead off the start of the second half of the MLB season. With it also being a divisional rivalry against the New York Mets, you’re going to want to make the most of it with our best Polymarket prediction market MLB picks. Since this is also a way for fans in ALL 50 STATES to make Polymarket MLB predictions, we’ll also share today’s guaranteed Polymarket prediction market promo code bonus!

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⚾ Top Polymarket Prediction Market MLB Picks for Today

While there is only the lone NL East clash tonight, now is still the time to bookmark our MLB expert picks so that you’re set up for success for the remainder of the season. Of course, that means far more than just Polymarket prediction market MLB picks, as you’ll even see all our expert picks beyond just baseball!

We saw Cristopher Sanchez start the All-Star Game for the National League and Zack Wheeler get another scorched-earth start just prior to the break, so it’s no surprise that Philly took a bit to name a starter for tonight (Aaron Nola). Despite that, those wanting to make Polymarket prediction market MLB picks nice and early still saw the Phillies as the favorite.

That’s with New York giving Christian Scott the nod quite some time ago, so let’s see a few different ways to attack this game.
 

 

 

🔥 Best Value Plays on the Polymarket Prediction Market Board: Yes Run First Inning (Trade at Polymarket)

You already saw us name the starters for this first game back, so it should be a huge surprise that we’re expecting some early fireworks. Scott vs. Nola is far from having McLean vs. Wheeler on the bump, and the top of these lineups speaks for themselves, hence where we’re starting our Polymarket prediction market MLB picks for today.

Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper were just in the Home Run Derby and got a righty that throws almost exclusively four-seamers to lefties. Juan Soto and A.J. Ewing can absolutely capitalize on Aaron Nola, who is one of the most hot-and-cold starters out there. Oh yeah, there’s also Bo Bichette in the #3 spot, who has quietly been fantastic.

Of course, we don’t care which team gets it done as long as one of them cashes the first of our Polymarket prediction market MLB picks.

💪 High-Confidence MLB Predictions Based on Recent Performance: Over 9 Runs (Trade at Polymarket)

Our value pick perfectly correlates with our high-confidence selection, as we’re expecting runs both early and often. We could get halfway home to a double-digit game in that first frame, so why not enjoy some correlating picks? While the NY offense is the more inconsistent of the two, they helped Scott’s lone start against Philly with six runs.

They can do the same to help our Polymarket prediction market MLB picks against Nola, who got a no-decision in his lone start against the Mets this season. There were 10 runs scored in that matchup, and let’s also not forget that Philly is a solid hitter’s ballpark. Again, we just saw the Home Run Derby there on Monday night!

We aren’t calling for another 100+ homers, but we are still adding to our Polymarket prediction market MLB picks with the game total over nine runs.
 

 

 

😬 Riskier Picks With High Upside Tonight: Mets Money Line (Trade at Polymarket)

We’ve told you that Aaron Nola can be as up-and-down as any starter in the league, which is why the Mets ML is what we’d consider to be the riskiest of the bunch. They’re also on the road, which doesn’t help, but we’ve also seen the line move in their direction. While we’re focused on Polymarket prediction market MLB picks, at sportsbooks, it’s just around a +110 price.

That puts the Phillies at around -130, but they were about -145 favorites BEFORE they named a starter. Oddsmakers don’t have much confidence in Nola, despite some solid outings before the break. Scott also has some upside with multiple eight-strikeout games, and New York’s bullpen is stronger than Philly’s, albeit only slightly.

Again, it’s the riskiest of our trio, but the Mets money line is how we’d add to our Polymarket prediction market MLB picks for today!

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