Behind the Breakout: Hunter Dozier
Greg Jewett dissects potential breakout candidates during the 2019 MLB campaign.
In an effort to capture the essence of this series, this week, an under the radar player widely available could be percolating. Not only does Hunter Dozier own dual eligibility at first and third base, but he’s been making adjustments since arriving in the majors with the Royals. On the surface, his seven runs, three home runs and seven RBI with a .277/.352/.489 slash looks decent. Nothing to run to the wire for, unless ravaged by injuries.
However, Dozier’s about to face a steady diet of hitter friendly parks this week with trips to Chicago and New York. Entering game play on Monday, Dozier ranks 26th in expected slugging, according to Statcast, with a .619 mark, residing 130 points above his actual percentage. He’s also due for positive migration to the mean in weighted on-base average (wOBA) with an expected wOBA (xwOBA) of .414 compared to his .360 wOBA through his first 54 plate appearances.
It starts with his improved discipline metrics. Dozier’s swinging strike...