Although many profiles center on a range of outcomes or potential upside, it appears Yuli Gurriel represents a solid floor of batting average with reasonable counting statistics. Playing with Houston ensures he will score and drive in runs, especially in a division flush with weak rotations.

Gurriel appeared in 136 games last year with 70 runs, 13 home runs, 85 RBI, five stolen bases and a .291/.323/.428 slash line. His isolated power dipped to .138 along with his hard hit rate down by over five points. He does make contact 85 percent of the time, but his regression in power last year along with the underlying data not suggesting it will return does temper expectations.

According to Statcast, Gurriel recorded 481 batted ball events with only nine barrels all year and a launch angle of 11.6 degrees. Of more concern, Gurriel’s .361 expected slugging percentage. In order to discern his numbers, using xSTATS to cross reference the data, Gurriel finished last year with a...