Recency bias can cloud fantasy owners’ vision. Most remember Chris Sale being limited in September with tendinitis and a drop-in velocity. For years, Sale’s been under scrutiny due to his unorthodox delivery portending a physical breakdown. Last year, Sale only accrued 158 innings falling four innings short of being a qualified starting pitcher. He finished with 12 wins last year in 27 starts with 237 strikeouts against 34 walks, a 2.11 ERA, 2.31 xFIP and 0.86 WHIP.

Of pitchers with at least 150 innings last year, he led the majors in strikeouts per nine innings (13.5) and in WHIP. Sale also finished second in opponents average against (.181) and on-base plus slugging percentage (.532). His ERA ranked third within this subset of innings trailing only Jacob deGrom and Blake Snell . In two key analytical categories, Sale finished first in both strikeouts minus walks percentage (32.9 percent) and in xFIP (2.31).

In nearly 1,500 innings over his career, Sale’s won 103 games...