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FaZe Clan (NA Rank #3) vs. The Guard (NA Rank #8) – 4:00 PM ET

Moneyline odds: FaZe (-175) | Guard (+135)

Map Handicap: FaZe -1.5 (+165) | Guard +1.5 (-220) 

This is an online best-of-three series for the upper bracket final of Champions Tour North America: Last Chance Qualifier.

FaZe ACS at event: BABYBAY 258 | supamen 245 | dicey 214 | flyuh 166 | POISED 153

FaZe ACS past three months: dicey 240 | BABYBAY 238 | supamen 208 | flyuh 177 | POISED 168

Guard ACS at event: trent 238 | neT 208 | sayaplayer 204 | valyn 197 | JonahP 190

Guard ACS past three months: trent 230 | Sayaplayer 217 | JonahP 200 | valyn 195 | neT 179

H2H Data: 

These rosters have never faced each other. The teams last faced in January, which was prior to FaZe signing supamen & POISED. Guard won that series 2-1 (13-8 Haven / 5-13 Ascent / 13-8 Split) and neT led the server with 51 kills and 221 ACS. 

Prediction: FaZe wins 2-1.

Both of these teams are in good form at the moment as they have each won their two series played at LCQ, and they both rank top three at the event in terms of Team ACS. BABYBAY & supeman have been playing well and both rank amongst the top three players at the event in ACS, with BABYBAY leading all players in ADR as well. Dicey continues to be consistent for FaZe and he ranks in the top three at the event in terms of K/D ratio, so FaZe have three dangerous weapons to rely on with him, supamen, and BABYBAY. As for Guard, they appear to be a top team in North America once again, but trent has been the only real standout individual for them at this point. FaZe will likely ban Bind to start, which takes away Guard's best map from the past three months, while Guard will likely ban Haven to start, which takes away FaZe's best map from the past three months. Still, I think FaZe have some strong maps that they can turn to like Fracture, where they have won five in a row, or Breeze, where they have a 4-2 W/L record in the past three months. I'm expecting a close series between two great teams, but I have to give an edge to FaZe especially with the fact that their individuals are playing so well. On Draftkings, dicey & trent seem way too cheap given that they both lead their respective team in ACS in the past three months.

Favorite Plays:

dicey ($5,800) | BABYBAY ($9,000) | supamen ($8,000) | trent ($4,800) | sayaplayer ($5,000) |  flyuh ($6,200) | POISED ($6,800) 

 

Cloud9 (NA Rank #4) vs. 100 Thieves (NA Rank #6) – 7:00 PM ET

Moneyline odds: The odds for this series are unavailable as of Friday morning. I'd predict that Cloud9 are around (-150) moneyline favorites.

This is an online best-of-three series for the lower bracket round three of Champions Tour North America: Last Chance Qualifier.

Cloud9 ACS at event: vanity 244 | leaf 244 | Xeppaa 224 | mitch 172 | curry 161

Cloud9 ACS past three months: leaf 246 | Xeppaa 231 | mitch 209 | vanity 195 | curry 178

100 Thieves ACS at event: Asuna 257 | Derrek 214 | bang 200 | Will 186 | stellar 170

100 Thieves ACS past three months: Asuna 229 | bang 205 | Will 202 | Derrek 184 | stellar 182

H2H Data: 

These rosters have never faced each other. Both lineups have changed since the teams last faced in February with only Asuna remaining from the original 100T roster.

Prediction: Cloud9 wins 2-1.

Cloud9 lead all teams at the event with 209 Team ACS across six maps played, and they have three of the seven highest-rated players at the tournament with vanity (#1, 1.31 Rating), Xeppaa (#6, 1.16 Rating), and leaf (#7, 1.15 Rating). Cloud9 won NA LCQ in 2021, and they look primed to make another lower bracket run. Meanwhile, Asuna has the second-highest ACS of any player at the event, and Derrek has the highest clutch win rate, so individuals on both sides of the servers are playing at a very high level. Cloud9 should ban Bind to start, which would take away 100T's best map. 100 Thieves have their second-highest win rate on Breeze, but Cloud9 looked pretty dominant on that map against NRG on Thursday. 100 Thieves may look to ban Icebox considering Cloud9 have a 6-1 W/L record on that map since the start of May, but C9 have too strong of a map pool to really punish them in the veto. I've been impressed by the improvements that 100 Thieves have shown at this event, but Will is still way underperforming given his roles within this team, and I don't see them getting past Cloud9 unless he really steps up. Mitch & curry have been below average for the side of C9 as well, but vanity, leaf, and xeppaa have been picking up the load. I'll take Cloud9 to win here as I think they are the better team overall, though I am still interesting in Asuna and Derrek based on their form at this event.

Favorite Plays:
vanity ($6,000) | Xeppaa ($5,400) | leaf ($8,800) | Asuna ($8,600) | Derrek ($6,400) | mitch ($7,400)