After an absurd fly ball rate of 50.5-percent and 14 home runs in 84 games back in 2017, Matt Chapman was a trendy pick for a sizable increase in his home run output across a full big league season. While Chapman did park 24 long balls, it wasn’t quite the power output many were expecting when selecting him in the middle rounds of numerous drafts. It was still an excellent season for the young third baseman, as he slashed .278/.356/.508 with 100 runs scored, 24 home runs and 68 RBI in 145 games in 2018. In 2017 we saw more power and less average for Chapman, but 2018 displayed adequate pop and solid average for the corner infielder. By cutting his strikeout rate by nearly five percentage points, he was able to make more contact and ride a .338 BABIP to that near-.280 clip.

If Chapman were to fall into prolonged slump in 2019, his playing time shouldn’t be affected as he’s one of the best defensive third baseman in the game. His 13.1 DEF rating on FanGraphs led all third...