The 2026 college football season rolls on, and Saturday’s SEC matchup between the Florida Gators and No. 11 Kentucky Wildcats highlights the CFB Week 11 slate. Below, we preview the game, break down the matchup and give our expert Florida vs. Kentucky prediction, along with the latest odds, injury report and how to watch.
Florida vs. #11 Kentucky Quick Pick
Best Bet: Florida +3.5 (-125 on BetMGM Sportsbook)
- Spread: Kentucky -3.5
- Total: 52.5
- Kickoff: 6:15 PM ET, Saturday, November 14, on ESPN
Florida vs. #11 Kentucky Predictions for CFB Week 11, Saturday 11/14
Kentucky enters as a 3.5-point home favorite with a 52.5-point total on BetMGM Sportsbook. The Wildcats are 7-2 and ranked 11th in the latest College Football Playoff rankings, while the Gators are 5-4 this season. There’s a betting angle here worth locking in before kickoff.
Florida vs. Kentucky Expert Pick: Florida +3.5 (-125 on BetMGM Sportsbook)
Both teams are looking to rebound from losses last week. Florida has lost two straight and four of its last five, while Kentucky lost for just the second time this season, snapping a six-game winning streak.
Florida’s current form isn’t convincing. The Gators have dropped four of five since a 4-0 start, and they’ve been outscored 50-15 combined in their last two losses to Georgia and Oklahoma. The offense in particular has regressed over the past month.
Even so, Florida’s offense can wake back up this week. Kentucky ranks 96th nationally in defensive success rate and has allowed 34 points in three of its last five games. Last week, Tennessee exposed UK’s run defense for 240 rushing yards at 6.5 yards per carry.
At their best, the Gators can get the ground game going behind star running back Jadan Baugh. That’s very possible against a Kentucky defense that has struggled to stop the run in conference play. The Wildcats are allowing 4.3 yards per carry to SEC opponents, the fourth-worst mark in the conference.
On the other side, Florida’s defense is also a concern, especially against the pass. However, Kentucky doesn’t have the passing attack to take full advantage. The Wildcats rank 89th nationally in passing yards per game against FBS competition. We should also see a more focused effort from the Florida defense after last week.
All in all, Florida doesn’t rate that much worse than Kentucky despite the gap in records. That’s enough to take the Gators to cover as underdogs, and possibly win outright.
Best Bet: Florida +3.5 (-125 on BetMGM Sportsbook)
Florida vs. #11 Kentucky Odds, Spread, Total & Betting Lines
Here are the latest Florida vs. Kentucky odds from BetMGM Sportsbook ahead of Saturday’s game.
Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Gators | +3.5 (-125) | +130 | Over 52.5 (-110) |
| #11 Kentucky Wildcats | -3.5 (-105) | -155 | Under 52.5 (-108) |
How to Watch Florida vs. #11 Kentucky
- Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026
- Time: 6:15 PM ET
- Location: Kroger Field, Lexington, Kentucky
- TV: ESPN
Florida vs. #11 Kentucky Injury Report & Latest News
Florida Gators Injuries
- WR Vernell Brown III: Out
- S Bryce Thornton: Out
- LB Jaden Robinson: Out
- TE Evan Chieca: Out
- CB Dijon Johnson: Doubtful
- LB Kofi Asare: Questionable
- DL DK Kalu: Questionable
Kentucky Wildcats Injuries
- WR Nic Anderson: Out
- LB Antwan Smith: Out
- DB Jaden Smith: Out
- DB Grant Grayton: Out
Florida vs. #11 Kentucky FAQ
Who will win Florida vs. Kentucky?
Our pick is Florida +3.5 (-125 on BetMGM). Kentucky’s run defense has struggled in SEC play, which sets up well for Jadan Baugh and the Gators’ ground game, and Florida has a real chance to win outright.
What is the spread for Florida vs. Kentucky?
Kentucky is a 3.5-point home favorite on BetMGM Sportsbook, with the total set at 52.5. Florida is +130 on the moneyline and Kentucky is -155.
What time does Florida vs. Kentucky start, and what channel is it on?
Kickoff is at 6:15 PM ET on Saturday, November 14, at Kroger Field in Lexington, with the game airing on ESPN.
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