Duke and Virginia will face off on Friday night as both squads are eager to recover from their recent ACC losses. Duke suffered a 24-20 loss to North Carolina, while Virginia could only muster 13 points against SMU.
It should be noted that our Duke vs. Virginia predictions are a little uncertain about the outcome of this one and don’t feel great supporting either team. Both Duke and Virginia have been inconsistent, but that doesn’t mean there’s not an angle to look for when making Duke vs. Virginia picks!
Duke vs. Virginia Predictions for CFB Week 8, Friday, 10/23
Although both squads have shown flashes of potential this season, their offenses have seen better days. Thus, my Duke vs. Virginia picks have a clearer perspective on the total than the spread. I actually anticipated the figure to be in the low 40s rather than the mid-to-high 40s.
Both teams have had difficulty maintaining consistent offensive performances, and I don't foresee either team suddenly finding their scoring touch for an entire game. So, here’s why our Duke vs. Virginia predictions are backing the Under 47.5 at FanDuel Sportsbook.
Duke vs. Virginia Expert Pick: Under 47.5 (-110 at FanDuel Sportsbook)
Focusing on Duke, they come into this matchup with a 4-2 record following a disappointing 24-20 defeat to North Carolina. Despite racking up 373 total yards in that game, they struggled to convert those opportunities into points.
While Duke's average of 31.7 points per game seems impressive, it doesn't fully capture what to expect against Virginia. The Blue Devils heavily depend on their rushing game, led by Nate Sheppard. He’s amassed 820 rushing yards and eight rushing touchdowns this season, in addition to 259 receiving yards and four receiving touchdowns.
Duke's offense has the potential for explosive plays, but Virginia's defense may put a damper on their scoring output. The Cavaliers have allowed an average of 19.7 points per game this season and have been very effective in curbing opposing passing games. If Virginia can contain Sheppard's ability to break off long runs and force Duke into predictable passing scenarios, the Blue Devils might find it difficult to maintain their typical offensive rhythm.
The situation is further complicated by Virginia's own offensive struggles. Although the Cavaliers are averaging 30 points per game, their recent outings have been less than stellar, highlighted by just 13 points against SMU in Week 7, where they managed only 258 total yards.
Quarterback Beau Pribula's performance was subpar, with just 137 passing yards and no touchdowns in that game. Additionally, Virginia enters this contest banged up just about everywhere.
The Blue Devils have been solid defensively, allowing only 16 points per game and an average of 292.7 total yards. Their run defense has been particularly strong, permitting just 92.5 rushing yards per game and 3.2 yards per carry. If Duke can stifle Virginia's ground game, the Cavaliers may be forced to depend on a passing attack that has yet to show consistent effectiveness.
Last year, Duke beat Virginia 27-20 in overtime during the ACC Championship Game, and the Under has been successful in six of their last ten encounters. While these trends don’t guarantee outcomes, they do hint at a competitive game that may not result in a high score.
Both teams appear more inclined to rely on their running game rather than consistently passing, and both defenses are capable of creating tough possessions for their opposition. I’ll place a bet on the Under 47.5 (-110 at FanDuel Sportsbook). Again, I’m not sure who exactly wins this one, but I believe the current Duke vs. Virginia odds have the total slightly too high for two inconsistent offenses facing off.
How To Watch Duke vs. Virginia - CFB Week 8
- Date: Friday, October 23rd
- Time: 7:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Scott Stadium, Charlottesville, VA
- TV: ESPN
Duke vs. Virginia Odds, Spreads, Total & Betting Lines
As we prepare for the game this Friday with our Duke vs. Virginia predictions, it's essential to examine the latest Duke vs. Virginia odds from FanDuel Sportsbook for this matchup:
- Money Line (ML): Blue Devils +102 | Cavaliers -102
- Spread: Blue Devils +1.5 (-110) | Cavaliers -1.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 47.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Duke vs. Virginia Injury Report & Latest News
Duke Injury Report
- A. Pellicciotta, S - Out (Undisclosed)
- C. Salas, K - Out (Undisclosed)
UVA Injury Report
- K. Courtney, WR - Questionable (Undisclosed)
- R. Flores Jr., WR - Out (Knee)
- D. Newton-Short, WR - Out (Hamstring)
- T. Hamann, K - Out (Undisclosed)
- J. Stevens, RB - Out (Undisclosed)
- T. Ward, WR - Out (Undisclosed)
- P. Lewis, RB - Questionable (Undisclosed)
- J. Hammond, DL - Out (Undisclosed)
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