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THE SLATE (Odds via DK Sportsbook)

  • 2 pm ET – Boston College (-2) vs. Pittsburgh – 129 O/U
  • 4:30 pm ET – NC State vs. Clemson (-5.5) – 143 O/U
  • 7 pm ET – Georgia Tech vs. Louisville (-1.5) – 135 O/U

Note: The NC State/Clemson game has a 4 pm ET lineup lock time on DraftKings despite the game expected to tip at 4:30 pm ET. 

 

KenPom Projected Team Totals

  1. Clemson – 76
  2. NC State – 71
  3. Louisville – 67
  4. Georgia Tech – 66
  5. Boston College – 65
  6. Pittsburgh – 63

 

Notable Injuries to Monitor:

  • Jae'Lyn Withers, Louisville – QUESTIONABLE (knee/ankle)

 

 


 

Top Guards

PlayerTeamOpp.DK $DK FPPGFD $FD FPPG
Terquavion SmithNCSTCLEM870029.1830026.51
Smith has been on an absolute tear for the past month and he’ll be hard to fade in cash on this small slate. The Wolfpack freshman had at least 20 points scored and 34 DK in five straight games to end the regular season and he’s averaging 21 PPG and 36 DK over the past ten contests. The shot volume is very high every game and we shouldn’t expect that to stop now.
Michael DevoeGTUL790032.27730029.34
Georgia Tech’s backcourt duo of Devoe and Usher are both solid plays on this slate against Louisville’s subpar defense. Devoe is averaging 29 DK over the past ten games and went off for 23 points and 34 DK in this matchup earlier this season. He’s a bit cheaper than Usher for about the same DFS production, so he gets the slight nod.
Makai Ashton-LangfordBCPITT690025.15790023.32
Ashton-Langford already has two big-time performances vs. Pitt this season, averaging 22 points and 37 DK across both games. He also ended the year on a high note with 32 and 34 DK in the past two games. Even in a low-total matchup today, the Eagles’ point guard can still stuff the stat sheet to anchor a cash lineup. His DK price tag makes him a better play on that slate.

Other Top Guards:

  • Dereon Seabron – NC State ($8,300 DK / $7,000 FD)
  • Jordan Usher – Georgia Tech ($8,100 DK / $7,800 FD)
  • David Collins – Clemson ($7,000 DK / $6,000 FD)
     

Value Guards

PlayerTeamOpp.DK $DK FPPGFD $FD FPPG
Al-Amir DawesCLEMNCST560020.95530018.69
The favorable matchup vs. NC State’s bad defense should have us targeting Clemson, and Dawes is an affordable way to get exposure to the Tigers. Even though the junior is coming off the bench lately, he’s still playing starter-level minutes and has 24 DK or more in four of the last six with 15 and 20 DK in the two others. It’s an expensive-ish value, but could be worth it in cash.
Brevin GallowayBCPITT520014.86540013.31
Galloway has been playing a bigger role lately with Bickerstaff sidelined and he has 20 DK or more in five of the last eight. Even though Bickerstaff returned last game, he only played four minutes off the bench and may still be limited today. Galloway, meanwhile, has some upside in this matchup as BC’s most active perimeter shooter and Pitt having a terrible three-point defense.
Miles KellyGTUL40007.8252006.96
Kelly just had the best game of his freshman season on Saturday when he scored 16 points and 30 DK in 34 minutes of court time. It’s a good sign for a guy who’s been playing a bigger role in Georgia Tech’s rotation since Deivon Smith went out for the year. His FD price tag is a bit high to roster, but he’s a solid salary-saver on DK at 4k.

Other Value Guards:

  • Ithiel Horton – Pittsburgh ($5,700 DK / $4,800 FD)
  • Kyle Sturdivant – Georgia Tech ($4,900 DK / $4,800 FD)
  • Casey Morsell – NC State ($4,500 DK / $3,700 FD)
  • Noah Locke – Louisville ($4,300 DK / $4,200 FD)

 

Top Forwards

PlayerTeamOpp.DK $DK FPPGFD $FD FPPG
PJ HallCLEMNCST730027.78680026.03
Hall returned last game after missing the previous four with a foot injury, and he was efficient in limited playing time with 12 points, four assists and 18 DK in only 13 minutes. It’s hard to tell if he’ll be back in the starting lineup and take on a full workload today, so it may be tough to roster in cash. If he’s starting, though, the matchup is very favorable as he went for 20 points and 34 DK vs. NC State’s soft interior defense earlier this season.
Jericole HellemsNCSTCLEM680024.74670022.45
Though he’s been inconsistent in DFS and real-life this season, Hellems comes into this game on a mini hot streak with 32 and 35 DK in the past two games. He had 25 DK vs. Clemson earlier this season and should avoid matching up with PJ Hall as he plays the power forward position. There aren’t many top-tier forwards on this slate and Hellems should be fine in cash.
Sydney CurryULGT630013.41820012.51
Curry’s price tag has now skyrocketed after three stud performances to close out the regular season. The Louisville big man has 36, 37 and 46 DK in the last three games as he’s taken on a bigger role with Jae’Lyn Withers banged up and Malik Williams out of favor with the coaching staff. It’s risky to play him in cash on this slate, but the GPP upside is clearly there.

Other Top Forwards:

  • John Hugley – Pittsburgh ($7,100 DK / $7,500 FD)
  • James Karnik – Boston College ($6,700 DK / $6,100 FD)
     

Value Forwards

PlayerTeamOpp.DK $DK FPPGFD $FD FPPG
Rodney HowardGTUL550016.91450016.02
Howard has been a solid value play for the last couple of weeks and is still fairly affordable on this slate without many values worth trusting. He’s averaging 18.7 DK over the past ten games but has performances of 34, 25, 37 and 22 DK in the past month. He can easily return value against an inconsistent Louisville frontcourt that may be shorthanded today.
Hunter TysonCLEMNCST500020.79450019.42
Tyson has now been back two games since missing a month of action with a broken clavicle. He’s put up 12 and 15 DK in these past two and got close to a starter-level workload last game while being among the first five. He and Clemson get a pace-boost and favorable matchup today, so the value isn’t bad for 5k on DK and cheaper on FD.
Jaylon GibsonNCSTCLEM36007.4842007.05
He may be hard to trust in cash, but Gibson is an interesting value as he’s been getting more playing time lately while starter Ebenezer Dowuona is taking a backseat at the NC State center spot. Gibson has logged 23 and 28 minutes the last two games and put up 15 and 14 DK, respectively, with the extended court time. He hasn’t done much outside these past couple of games, though, so it’s a risk.

Other Value Forwards:

  • Ian Schieffelin – Clemson ($4,400 DK / $4,600 FD)
  • Ebenezer Dowuona – NC State ($3,500 DK / $3,500 FD)

 

DraftKings Core Plays

  • Terquavion Smith – NC State
  • Makai Ashton-Langford – Boston College
  • Rodney Howard – Georgia Tech
     

FanDuel Core Plays

  • Terquavion Smith – NC State
  • Michael Devoe – Georgia Tech
  • Al-Amir Dawes – Clemson

 

Looking for more College Basketball content? Check out the March Madness previews on Top Contenders, Upset Candidates and Darkhorse Teams!